IDP Rookie Mock Draft
With dynasty league draft season now underway I enlisted the help of three of FFStatistics brightest IDP minds to participate in an IDP rookie mock draft. We have the Scott Fish Bowl 8 (SFB8) Champion Sam Lane aka @FFStompy, resident bellcow Jeff Smith, and versatile swiss army knife Ben Rolfe. Ben will man picks 1.01, 1.05, and 1.09. Sam will handle 1.02, 1.06, and 1.10. Jeff is on the board at 1.03, 1.06, and 1.11. I will be on the clock at 1.04, 1.07, and 1.12. The scoring settings we are using are as follows: Solo tackle = 2 points, Assisted tackle = 1 point, Sack = 4 points, Tackle for loss = 2 points, Interception 4 points, Pass deflection = 1 point. Defensive tackle and defensive end are two separate positions.
1.01 – Devin White (LB – Tampa Bay)
As we saw in the IDP consistency reports the safest position among IDPs for consistency is the linebacker position. White should be a day one starter in Tampa Bay and could be a tackle monster in a team who could be trailing a lot this season. – Ben Rolfe
The top IDP prospect in this class and the favorite for rookie of the year, Devin White could have a Darius Leonard type of impact as a rookie. He will rack up the tackles and should generate enough pressure to tally more than just a few sacks (33 pressures in 2018). His future is in the middle of this defense, and he may even start out there this season with LaVonte David being the superior option in coverage. White looks like an immediate LB1 in both redraft and dynasty. White does it all. He is an electric linebacker who is a plus as both a pass rusher and as a run defender. He has the rare sideline-to-sideline ability that can get even the casual excited. White has a great motor and is all but certain to be an immediate impact player for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
1.02 – Nick Bosa (DE – San Francisco)
Defensive end is a relatively shallow, yet valuable position in fantasy football. Nick Bosa is rightfully compared to some of the best young pass rushers in the game like Myles Garrett, Khalil Mack, and his brother Joey. Nick should be a significant contributor in his first season and could reach the elite tier sooner rather than later. – Sam Lane
The consensus top player in this draft class, Nick Bosa sits alone in tier one of rookie IDP edge defenders. Bosa has tantalizing upside and can get to the quarterback with both power and finesse. Playing beside Dee Ford will make this rookie’s job a lot easier, and will likely give him the sack numbers to contend for defensive rookie of the year. The 49ers line is too talented for Bosa to see double teams, something that should have Joey Bosa’s younger brother licking his chops. Nick is a dominant pass rusher with good bend and hands. He is the highest rated edge defender ever in the PFF college era. Bosa looks to have immediate DE1 upside in both redraft and dynasty. He is the only edge rusher in this class worth being picked in the second round of mixed rookie drafts.
1.03 – Devin Bush (LB – Pittsburgh)
The Steelers obviously like Bush to fill the void left by Shazier. They traded up 10 picks to get him and he should play a ton as a rookie. – Jeff Smith
Devin Bush should be one of the top three names off the board in dynasty league rookie IDP drafts. Worth a second-round pick in deeper IDP formats with mixed rookie drafts, Bush is primed to become a star in Pittsburgh. Playing beside T.J. Watt is going to open up a lot of holes when Bush is asked to rush the passer. Bush ranked sixth in the nation in pass rush productivity after generating 20 pressures on just 71 pass rush snaps. Bush tested much better at the combine than most may have expected, and his draft stock soared as a result. He has sideline-to-sideline ability and a great base that roots him when taking on blockers and ball carriers.
An effort backer with a good motor, Bush could find his way into LB1 territory as soon as this season. He could use some work in coverage, but he shows good effort in that area. Bush is an active tackler with good closeout skills.
1.04 – Jonathan Abram (S – Oakland)
A hard-hitting safety with rugged tackling skills, Abram is going to be an immediate impact player. The complete package, Abram can play high, in coverage, or in the box. Abram is going to be one of the most exciting safeties in the game and should be a DB2 with DB1 upside out of the gate. He is going to get all the snaps he can handle in Oakland and could be a star as soon as this season.
1.05 – Juan Thornhill (S – Kansas City)
Thornhill could get an early shot for the Chiefs and when a team has a good offense it pushes pressure onto the back end of their defense. Teams will be throwing to keep up with the Chiefs for the coming years and Thornhill could be a tackling monster. – Ben Rolfe
Thornhill impressed with his combine testing, and will now get a chance to learn from Tyrann Mathieu in Kansas City. As Ben pointed out, playing for a defense that is expected to be leading most of the games they play in for the next decade will allow him to rack up the tackle opportunities. Thornhill is a hard-hitting safety with a former hoops background and an insane 44 inch vertical. He shines in zone coverage and should man strong safety with Mathieu playing the free safety role. A prolific tackler in college, Thornhill projects to be much of the same as a pro. Thornhill should be the DB2 in dynasty league rookie drafts.
1.06 – Quinnen Williams (DT – Jets)
Much like defensive end, defensive tackle is relatively shallow and sees a sharp drop off after the first tier or two. Defensive tackles who can produce a pass rush up the middle, like DeForest Buckner, are extremely valuable in IDP. Quinnen Williams had 8 sacks and 19.5 tackles for loss in his final season at Alabama. He could be a dominant force inside as early as his rookie season. – Sam Lane
Quinnen Williams is a beast in the middle. Playing beside Leonard Williams and Jachai Polite when they switch to a 4-3 front will allow him easy paths to the quarterback. However, as a base 3-4 team, Quinnen will be more of a space-eater in the middle. It is not the ideal scenario for the talent they have on the team but Gregg Williams runs enough hybrid fronts that he will still have multiple opportunities per game to actually rush the passer as opposed to just creating pressure. He is going to be asked to do a lot right away and may actually become one of the games top 3-4 defensive tackles as a rookie, he is that good. There was no better interior player in the country than the New York Jets first-round pick. Quinnen Williams is the highest graded interior player ever in the PFF era.
1.07 – Ed Oliver (DL – Buffalo)
The landing spot was perfect for Oliver. He should thrive as an inside pass rusher. – Jeff Smith
A sensational talent with elite get off and explosion, Oliver is a monster get for the Buffalo Bills. While the Aaron Donald comparisons may be a bit premature, he does indeed have the ceiling of a perennial pro bowler. A player with a great motor and good power, Oliver is a force on every snap. A speed rusher with plus power, Oliver shows elite consistency in the middle. He has enough juice to kick to the outside, and some teams even had him work out as an outside linebacker. Due to facing multiple double and triple teams a game, he already has the block shedding skills to thrive in the NFL. Oliver is the DT1 in this class and should be considered as high as DL2 in leagues that do not separate the two positions. He is an immediate DT1 in dynasty leagues.
1.08 – Clelin Ferrell (DE – Oakland)
Some may have tabbed Clelin Ferrell as a reach, but I am not one of them. A top-four talent at his position on my personal big board, he is arguably top two in terms of true defensive ends. With Josh Allen and others more edge rusher than defensive end, Ferrell was not as perplexing a choice as some made him out to be. He has good speed, power, and explosion, and has the size one looks for in a prototypical defensive end prospect. A bull rusher with great bend and a great motor, Ferrell is primed to make some noise as a rookie. He may experience some double teams, but is battle-tested coming from an elite program like Clemson. Ferrell is immediately the top talent on Oakland’s defensive line.
1.09 – Darnell Savage Jr. (S – Green Bay)
Savage should slot in as the starting safety for the Packers. They put a lot into the pick for him and with the consistency good defensive back can offer. – Ben Rolfe
Darnell Savage rode the wave of a sensational combine to becoming a first-round pick for a Green Bay Packers team that has remade their defense. Savage will slot next to free-agent addition Adrian Amos to form a suddenly impressive back end of Green Bay’s secondary. A hard-hitting downhill safety, Savage is a perfect fit for the NFC North. Savage has significant ball-hawking upside due to his considerable range. Darnell should be a strong consideration as the DB3 for most rookie drafts.
1.10 – Josh Allen (Edge – Jacksonville)
Allen landed in the perfect spot for an IDP edge rusher. Jacksonville runes a 4-3 base scheme, meaning Allen will mostly play as a defensive end. Arguably the second-best edge rusher in the 2018 class, Allen may not have a gigantic impact in his rookie season behind Calais Campbell and Yannick Ngakoue, but his time is coming and you don’t want to wait until he does breakout. – Sam Lane
Discussed as a potential number one overall pick in the months leading up to the NFL Draft, Allen tumbled all the way down to the Jacksonville Jaguars at seventh overall. Allen’s OLB skill set caused some teams to pass on him, but the Jaguars know just how to utilize players like him. Hybrid fronts, angles, and rushing from stances you are comfortable in will allow Allen to truly flourish.
Although he is a bit of a stash pick as he is stuck behind Calais Campbell and Yannick Ngakoue, he should still generate some value this year. Dante Fowler was able to do just that and though he is more of an OLB than Fowler was, Allen is the superior talent. Allen has good explosion and bend and does indeed have some experience playing with his hand in the dirt. Josh Allen comes up big in clutch situations and has rare sideline to sideline ability for an OLB/DE type. Allen is a steal at this point in the draft. He has a chance to be very special, especially in this defense.
1.11 – Germaine Pratt (LB – Cincinnati)
A hard-hitting former safety, Germaine Pratt has the tools to play both inside and out. He seems all but assured to see work in nickel packages, and could even be named the team’s dime backer. He is listed as an OLB by some league providers but should be treated as an ILB until further notice. Pratt is a good tackler with good closing speed. He has some pass-rushing juice and can hold his own in coverage due to his defensive back background. Germaine Pratt is one of the rare linebackers that may actually be able to cover most tight ends. Pratt is also a good to great run defender who ranked eighth in the nation in run-stop percentage. He should be the third ILB off the board after the two Devin’s.
1.12 – Montez Sweat (DE – Washington)
Montez Sweat tore up the NFL Combine, but his medicals caused him to see a precipitous fall from where some not so plugged in analysts were projecting him. Sweat is a good talent with true athletic ability. He shined at the senior bowl and bumped himself up from a day two pick with his outstanding pre-draft process. His tape has some good, but it also has some bad. Sweat looks more like a pressure generator than someone who will be a consistent sack threat. He has an elite wingspan and could really become a force if he can maintain his explosion with some added muscle. Sweat ranked third in the nation in terms of PFF grade, ranking behind only Josh Allen and Jachai Polite.