NFC Do Not Draft for the Risk-Averse
This is a list of do not draft players from the NFC if you are risk-averse. The current ADP is too high for the potential headaches associated with them. While each player discussed does offer upside, there are other players you can draft in that range that are much safer. This is not to say you cannot draft these players, but only at the right price. Let us get started.
Amari Cooper is currently being drafted as the WR13 in redraft leagues. The former Oakland Raider has not practiced since August 3rd. While he is set to return on Monday, there has to be concern about the injury lingering all season long. Cooper did manage over 1,000 yards in 2015 with a similar injury. There are varying reports on what the injury actually is. It has been called everything from a heel bruise to plantar fascitis.
There are much safer options in this range. Brandin Cooks is being drafted after him. So is Tyler Lockett. FFStatistics own Sam Factor and Luke Bugoni break it down in-depth for you here as well. We quickly forget that the Crimson Tide grad was droppable while with the Raiders. Despite being drafted later, Cooks and Lockett had better finishes last season. In fact, Cooks has finished better than Cooper every year. Buyer beware.
Alshon Jeffery is currently being drafted as the WR31 in redraft leagues. People seem to still be holding out hope that the former Chicago Bear can return to his form while with the Monsters of the Midway. Jeffery had finishes of WR8 and WR10 while in the Windy City. Since joining the Philadelphia Eagles, he has been a borderline WR2. While it may seem like good value to get a WR2 in the WR3 range, we have to factor in the arrival of J.J. Arcega-Whiteside. As mentioned in the Week 3 NFC recap, the Stanford grad has arrived.
Players you can get in this range include Christian Kirk, Curtis Samuel, and Marvin Jones. All three players have the same floor as Jeffery but offer a much higher upside and just as much of a chance to finish as a WR2. A look at Jeffery’s yearly finishes courtesy of FFStatistics shows average finishes at best since his stint with the Bears. Jeffery has also only played in 16 games once in the past four seasons. Avoid him unless he drops late.
Tevin Coleman is currently being drafted as the RB28. This is 9 running backs before teammate Matt Breida, who is arguably the better player. At the time of this writing, it was announced that Jerick McKinnon was going on IR. This does not change the stance on Coleman. There is still a chance McKinnon gets the designated to return tag and could come back later in the season.
This has all the makings of a running back by committee for the San Francisco 49ers. Other running backs available in this range that offer just as much, if not more upside, are Latavius Murray, Phillip Lindsay, and Miles Sanders. Using the point per opportunity chart from FFStatistics, we see that all three running backs are basically the same player. Go for the upside of the other three backs and save yourself the headache fo trying to sort out the 49er backfield.
This wraps up the NFC do not draft list. While all three of these players certainly have value, if you are a conservative owner, there are plenty of other options out there that will not drive you crazy on a week to week basis. If you find any of these players dropping a couple of rounds below their current ADP, by all means, pull the trigger on them. There is a cost-benefit in all things fantasy football.
THANK YOU FOR READING. YOU CAN READ SOME OF MY OTHER WORK AND THOUGHTS ON TWITTER @FFJEFFSMITH. FOLLOW FFSTATISTICS ON TWITTER @FFSTATISTICS_. PLEASE CHECK OUT EVERYTHING THAT FFSTATISTICS HAS TO OFFER. NEW STATISTICS AND DATA ARE BEING ADDED CONSTANTLY. READ MORE IN MY COACHING CHANGES SERIES AS WELL AS OTHER ARTICLES FROM THE FFSTATISTICS WRITING STAFF HERE. LISTEN TO THE FFSTATISTICS FAMILY OF PODCASTS HERE.