DFS Player Pool Week 2
So Week 1 didn’t go as planned? Hop back on that horse and ride ’til you can’t no more. Or maybe there’s a fresh deposit sitting in your bank courtesy of your DFS site of choice? What better way to spend your windfall than by doubling down and getting into Week 2 action. The Week 2 player pool is here to help.
DFS Player Pool Week 2
Tom Brady, $6,400, @ MIA
For years Tom Brady and the New England Patriots have struggled in Miami. Among AFC teams, Miami has allowed Brady’s lowest yards per game and completion percentage. It’s even more impressive considering the sheer number of games they’ve seen him. This matchup has seen the Dolphins take the last non-Patriots AFC East title, unleash the wildcat on the league, and just last year win on a bonkers lateral pass as time expired. Still, Miami just got embarrassed against the Baltimore Ravens, surrendering 59 points, and letting Lamar Jackson rack up a perfect passer rating. The floor for Brady is as safe as ever, making this more of a cash play.
Dak Prescott, $6,300, @ WAS
Pay this man his money! At least that’s what Dak’s agent must be saying. Coming off a game where he put up just his second career 4 TD game and his first perfect passer rating, he’ll be facing the Redskins at home. Still a bit of an enigma, Washington looked like two different teams in Week 1. After holding the Philadelphia Eagles to 134 total yards and 7 points in the first half, Washington allowed the Eagles to score on their next four drives (3TDs and a FG). Based on how bad the Redskins looked once the Eagles got going, it’s a safe bet that Dallas will continue the roll they were on in Week 1. Another week of work for Zeke Elliot and health for Amari Cooper will only help the offense reach its full potential.
Ben Roethlisberger, $5,800, vs. SEA
After being one of the biggest disappointments in Week 1, the Steelers are in a great spot to bounce back in Week 2. It is tough to gauge how much of the Steelers’ offensive woes against the Patriots were due to internal personnel changes versus the defense they faced. Now, the Seahawks come into Heinz Field fresh off allowing the highest passing total of the week, to Andy Dalton of all people. The Seattle D gave up 418 yards passing while holding the ground game to 34 yards. Part of that is due to Joe Mixon injuring his ankle, but that should have made the passing game easier to stop.
Ben’s weapons will have better results this week, with Juju Smith-Schuster not being hounded by one of the top man coverage CBs in the league, Donte Moncrief improving his catch percentage closer to his career number of 57%, and James Washington being top buy-low target according to the air yards model. Plus, Home Ben is always the better Ben:
Josh Allen, $5,300, @ NYG
As of this writing, the New York Giants have gained ground in the line for this game. They also are missing their top two WRs: Sterling Shepard (concussion) and Golden Tate (he knows what he did). Tre’Davious White has locked down top TEs in the past and could do so again here. Cody Latimer is also dealing with a calf injury, leaving Saquon Barkley as the only weapon left to contain. Allen’s immediate connection with John Brown is a solid tournament play to hit again this week, as Janoris Jenkins and company were torched in Week 1 by Dallas. The Bills offensive line isn’t a sturdy as Dallas’, but there is no real threat of a pass rush here, and even if there was, Allen’s running ability would be kicked in. His rushing work continues to offer a high floor, and the passing game should thrive again in New Jersey.
Alvin Kamara, $8,200, @ LAR
Austin Ekeler, $6,100, @ DET
These are the two chalk plays of the week on the main slate and enter the Week 2 player pool together. It is fitting given their similar production profiles.
Kamara continues to make the most of his opportunities, scoring 23.9 points on 13 carries and 7 catches. People might see Latavius Murray’s line and be concerned about him eating into Kamara’s value, but the snap counts heavily favor Kamara and Murray won’t go for a 30 yard TD run every week. This game should follow a very similar script to last week and push Kamara into value through the expected volume.
Austin Ekeler was also extremely productive in limited work. His final total of 39.4 points was obviously enhanced by the TD total (3) and an OT session, but his price only bumped $600 dollars. Even removing the TDs, Ekeler was the more involved back between Justin Jackson and him, and his receiving work offers a solid floor, just like Alvin Kamara. Questions about the availability of Mike Williams and Hunter Henry already being ruled out could move Ekeler to even more prominence in the passing game.
Derrick Henry, $6,000, vs. IND
Josh Jacobs, $4,700, vs. KC
Chasing Week 1 results is never a great idea. Rostering these two feels a bit like that, but the pricing for their potential production is very appealing and players should have some exposure. Josh Jacobs especially will have some high ownership. He is one of several Raiders with depressed pricing due to the timing of Week 2 salaries being released.
Apparently, Derrick Henry is forgoing his usual routine of killing lineups early in the year, only to turn it on in the back half of the season. Week 1 saw him go for 159 total yards and 2 TDs. More importantly, he out-touched Dion Lewis 20-6 while only being in for 12 more snaps. If the game is close or the Titans lead, Henry will still assume the vast majority of the work. Rushing against the Colt’s defense should allow Henry and the Titans to control the game. They did just allow the Chargers to rush for 125 yards on just 21 carries, so expect the home team to run with success.
Over in Kansas City, Jacobs should be involved in a shootout with the offensive machine that is the Kansas City Chiefs coming to town. Jalen Richard was a total non-factor in Week 1, as Gruden was up and content to allow his new toys (Jacobs, Darren Waller, and Tyrell Williams) plenty of opportunities. Jacobs was the main guy in the backfield, dominating touches and snaps. Still, buyer beware here. The price and volume are the main things keeping Jacobs here. Should this game get out of hand, Richard might be featured.
Chris Thompson, $3,900, vs. DAL
Another week, another new RB starting for Washington. A favorite sleeper for many this draft season, Derrius Guice is down on the IR after a small procedure on his knee. Now Adrian Peterson, who was upset about being a late inactive for the Week 1 opener against the Philadelphia Eagles, takes over. Peterson hasn’t averaged over 2 receptions/game since 2013. Thompson is the pass-catching back and looks to be as good as ever after putting up a 7/68 receiving line and adding in another 10 yards on the ground. While a good portion of that came in garbage time, the script is likely to be as bad this week as last. Also, keep in mind that last season, Dallas allowed the fifth-most receptions to RBs.
Juju Smith-Schuster, $7,500, vs. SEA
Three great things stand out about this matchup for Juju: 1) Home Ben is ready to make his first appearance of the year. Second, his poor performance in Week 1 might be enough to drive ownership down. Finally, he will have the best matchup available from the Seattle secondary. After losing Ugo Amadi and Neiko Thorpe to injuries, Seattle re-signed Jamar Taylor, who was cut from the team prior to the regular season. Going from Stephon Gilmore to Taylor will be a huge upgrade for Juju in terms of his matchup. Get him into all formats.
Sammy Watkins, $7,200, @ OAK
As long as Tyreek Hill is out and Sammy is healthy he should be considered for DFS usage. As usual, Kansas City has the highest game total tied to their matchup. Last year, the Chiefs hit their over more than 64% of the time, and this game should easily fall into that category. Watkins is the most dangerous and experienced WR suiting up this week and should be up with Travis Kelce as the target leader. Getting exposure to the top WR in the best offense in a solid matchup is a good place to start lineups, even with Watkins likely to be a popular pick. A guy with his ceiling needs to be used in this offense.
Michael Gallup, $5,600, @ WAS
Dede Westbrook, $5,400, @ HOU
Both players here have seen moderate price increases from Week 1, taking them from the $4,000s to the mid $5k range. While Gallup operates on the outside, Westbrook will be running mostly from the slot. This should help new starting QB Gardner Minshew II ease into the offense. The two hooked up for a touchdown last week, and now Westbrook will have Phillip Gaines covering him. Similar to Juju’s coverage situation, Houston’s slot CB from last week has been replaced by a street free agent.
Over in the NFC East matchup, Gallup will be mostly aligned wide left. He was devastatingly effective last week, going a perfect 7 for 7 on his targets. Last season, Gallup had a catch rate of around 49%, so seeing this improvement from him was especially encouraging. He was looked much better than last year and seemed very comfortable in the offense. After the catch he was dangerous as well, gaining 76 YAC, well on his way to catching last year’s total of 173. Should Josh Norman recover from last week and be able to lock up Amari Cooper, Prescott will have an easy target in Gallup.
Trey Quinn, $3,900, vs. DAL
Across the field from Gallup will be Trey Quinn. The second-year slot receiver had some buzz as a deep sleeper heading into the season and had a solid debut. Coming close to hitting 4X ROI, Quinn was mostly quiet in Week 1 until late. QB Case Keenum would do well to go back to the well early and often against Dallas. The Terry McLaurin breakout last week should help draw attention deeper, allowing Quinn to operate in space underneath. Jordan Reed is also potentially available for Washington, giving them another weapon to pull coverage. In an expected easy win for Dallas, the game script could help Quinn hit value again. With the price and ownership low, it won’t take much for Quinn to make an impact in a tournament setting.
Travis Kelce, $7,300, @ OAK
What possibly is there to say about Kelce? He remains the top TE in all formats and will have a nice matchup on the road against the Oakland Raiders. Playing on short rest, Oakland is ready to come crashing back to Earth after a shocking win in their opener. Kelce, meanwhile, was quiet but still solid last week; finishing with a 3/88 line on 8 targets. With no Tyreek Hill in this game, and Sammy Watkins leading the WRs, Kelce should see a healthy dose of targets. Hopefully, he can match his day from his last visit to Oakland: 12/168/2. With rookie safety Jonathan Abrams added, Oakland has three DBs on IR, with another suspended and starting LCB Gareon Conley questionable too. The Raiders’ secondary is a mess and now they must contend with the most explosive passing offense in the league.
Delanie Walker, $3,500, vs. IND
Making an immediate impact now that he is healthy again, Walker stepped back in as a solid TE option for DFS. After posting a 5/55/2 line, Walker now gets the defense that last year allowed the most yards and receptions to tight ends. Marcus Mariota needs to continue to perform at a high level to ensure his starting job, and for the first time in his career has real competition. Take advantage of this pricing, as DraftKings seemed to skip over changing a lot of the pricing for TEs, including Walker’s who is the same as Week 1.
Darren Waller, $3,300, vs KC
Mark Andrews, $3,800, vs. ARI
These two are both coming off great first weeks and will continue to feature heavily in their teams’ passing attacks. Waller and Andrews both had a ton of hype based on their physical skills, and both lived up to them. Now, they have matchups that will likely dictate a solid amount of volume. Waller is probably going to be facing a negative game script and will benefit from Oakland chasing KC. Andrews will have coach Kliff Kingsbury’s Air Raid offense to drive up the tempo of his game. Finally, both have oddly static pricing, as they combined for a net $700 increase, despite scoring a combined 41.8 points last week. Hop on and enjoy WR2 production for the cost of a replacement TE. Double TE lineups are in play this week.
C.J. Uzomah, $2,800, vs SF
If Andy Dalton can continue to stay hot, Uzomah is appealing. Last week he outproduced Tyler Eifert, who is perpetually one injury away from retirement, and finished with a 4/66 line on 5 targets. A.J. Green is still expected to be out, and Joe Mixon is likely to be less than 100% if he plays at all. C.J. is a risky play, but dominated snaps and has a reasonable floor for a player this close to minimum pricing. There is also likely to be single-digit ownership here, so a big day from Uzomah can help in a week with so much chalk available in the player pool Week 2.