FFStatistics Fantasy Football: Start or Sit Week 15
Fantasy Football: Start or Sit Week 15
Congratulations to all teams that not only made it to the playoffs but survived long enough to get to this week. The dominant storyline of week 14 quickly became which players ended up injured. Players like Lamar Jackson and Christian McCaffery are not going to be featured here. Instead, this weekly article aims to deliver solid lineup advice based on statistical and matchup analysis for who to start and who to sit. Let’s jump in.
Start: Ryan Tannehill vs Houston
Ryan Tannehill has been nothing short of impressive since assuming the starting mantle in Tennessee. Since his first start as a Titan in week seven, he is the QB3 for fantasy purposes. His 15 touchdowns in that span tie him for third among his peers. He is averaging 22.6 fantasy points per game.
The Texans were plain and simply eviscerated last week by Drew Lock and the Broncos. The rookie signal-caller hung 309 passing yards and three touchdowns on the board, seemingly with ease. Lock finished with just as many incompletions as he had touchdown passes. This secondary is nothing to fear and Tannehill has been efficient with his passes.
Tannehill is a top-eight play and should be the first choice for those who stream the position.
Start: Jimmy Garoppolo vs Atlanta
Speaking of quarterbacks who have been on fire, Jimmy Garoppolo‘s recent stats are as handsome as he is. In the last six games, he has three in which he has thrown four touchdowns. Since week seven he is the QB7 for fantasy and thrown for 18 touchdowns.
The Falcons defense is allowing the sixth-most fantasy points to quarterbacks this season. Playing at home, Jimmy G. and company should be primed for another solid outing. Consider him a top-ten option in a good matchup.
Sit: Sam Darnold vs Baltimore
Sam Darnold‘s name has been mentioned more often as a start ’em kind of option for the last several weeks. However, his stretch of favorable matchups is over. He gets the Ravens in week 15 and the Steelers in week 16 for the fantasy finals. The Ravens have only allowed opposing teams to score 20 or more total points only four times all season.
Darnold was not overly impressive in most of the cupcake matchups. There is no way owners can trust him in the fantasy playoffs. Outside of emergency backup for injury, Darnold should be dropped in most redraft leagues. Him finishing outside the top-25 among the position this week is within the realm of possibility.
Start: DeAndre Washington vs Jacksonville
Stepping in as the lead dog in Josh Jacobs‘ absence, DeAndre Washington handled 14 attempts for 53 yards and one touchdown against a tough Titans run defense. Jacobs’s inured shoulder tangled with the Raiders’ lack of playoff hopes seem to indicate that he may sit out the rest of the season.
If Jacobs is indeed out, Washington appears to have earned the lead role. The Jaguars’ run defense is non-existant in recent weeks. They have allowed eight rushing touchdowns and 620 rushing yards since week 11. The touches should be there and the matchup could barely get any better. Fire up Washington as a safe floor RB2 with scoring upside this week as long as Jacobs is indeed out.
Start: Phillip Lindsay vs Kansas City
The split workload has been rising in Phillip Lindsay‘s favor in recent weeks. He has a higher percentage of carries, targets, and goal-line opportunities compared to Royce Freeman. He has seen double-digit carries in all but two games this season, and no less than 13 since week 11.
Meanwhile, the Chiefs are allowing the second-most fantasy points to running backs. While they have been rather stingy giving up rushing touchdowns in the last few weeks, they have remained generous to pass-catchers as well. Lindsay has seen 10 targets since coming off of their bye in week 11.
The Chiefs secondary has been better against receivers in the last several weeks. The way to try and keep up with them is in the run game. Lindsay should be a focal point of this offense in this game. Expect him to remains an RB2 in a good matchup.
Sit: Bo Scarbrough vs Tampa Bay
Bo Scarbrough is this season’s Gus Edwards. He is a no-frills running back that is going to get what is blocked and bruise a few extra yards here and there. He is averaging 18 attempts per game in the four games he has played this season. The volume is nice, but the 3.42 yards-per-carry in last week’s tilt is not.
Only three running backs have gained 75 yards or more on the ground against them all season. They are only allowing 3.4 yards-per-carry to backs. With zero involvement in the receiving game, Scarbrough offers a one-dimensional approach that will struggle to find success in an exceedingly difficult matchup.
Start: Jarvis Landry vs Arizona
The developmental chemistry between Baker Mayfield and Jarvis Landry has been visible this season. In their second season together, Landry is only five yards shy of his third 1,000-yard receiving yard season. His 14.4 yards-per-reception thus far is the best of his career. He is averaging 88 yards-per-game over his last five games, with four touchdowns in that same span.
The Cardinals have allowed 14 touchdowns and the sixth-most fantasy points to the position. Fire up Landry as a reliable WR2 with upside in a great matchup.
Start: A.J. Brown vs Houston
The chemistry between Tannehill and A.J. Brown has continued to flourish. In the last three games, Brown has 333 receiving yards and three scores. He is averaging 4.69 targets and 59.90 yards per game in his rookie season.
The Texans secondary is giving up the 15th-most points to receivers. With Corey Davis still getting plenty of defensive attention, Brown is in a spot to have another good game. We cannot expect another 153 yards and two touchdowns, but he is still a mid-range WR2 for this week’s matchup.
Sit: Brandin Cooks vs Dallas
The curious case of Brandin Cooks continues. He has averaged 18.67 yards per game over the last three games. He has not finished with more than 60 yards since week four and has not scored since week two.
Dallas is allowing the ninth fewest points to the position this season. The matchup, actually, is not awful but it is approaching impossible to rely on Cooks for production in a crucial week. Outside of really deep leagues, Cooks should be held on rosters but not sniff a starting role.
Start: Tyler Higbee vs Dallas
The injury plague hired a hitman that has been targeting tight ends this season. Secondary and tertiary tight ends have beheld the rugged wasteland that is tight end scoring. Enter Tyler Higbee from stage left. Higbee has 25 targets that he has converted into 243 yards and one touchdown over the last three weeks. Gerald Everett seems unlikely to suit up again this week and the Cowboys are not a terrible matchup. Ride the wave and start Higbee as a top-10 option at least for one more week.
Sit: Jimmy Graham vs Chicago
Jimmy Graham‘s five targets in week 14 were the most he has seen since week eight. He has not scored a touchdown since week seven. While the matchup against the Bears is not a frightening one, the combined low volume from Aaron Rodgers and Graham is enough to entice owners to look elsewhere for a streaming option. If Graham does not come down with a touchdown, he is a back-end TE2 this week.
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