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FFStatistics Weekly Wrap Up: Week One

Here at FFStatistics.com we’re not only dedicated to looking into the past output of players. It’s also a goal of ours to help you in the present and future as well. No, we don’t have a crystal ball but if you look into the numbers the answers can often be found. In this article, we’ll go over the action from each week of the season, from risers and fallers to the ripple effects of injuries. With that being said, fantasy football is back folks and this is the …

FFStatistics Weekly Wrap Up

Like the greatest Broadway shows, week one surely brought on every emotion known to man. I know it did for me. Here’s what stood out.

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Risers and Fallers:

Week One Risers:

Joe Mixon CIN RB – 22 touches, 149 yards, 1 TD, caught 5/7 targets and played on 84% of the snaps.

Why: Giovani Bernard looks to be no threat. 2 touches 9 total yards and 14% of the snaps.

James Conner PIT RB – 36 touches, 192 yards, 2 TD, caught 5/6 targets.

Why: As of right now he’s the only show in town. Locked in RB1 until Lev Bell returns. (Add him off waivers if still available.)

Dion Lewis TEN RB– 21 touches, 110 yards, 1 TD, caught 5/8 targets and played on 73% of the snaps.

Why:  Derrick Henry got the first eight touches, but only received 3 more. He only played on 30% of the snaps (Game scripted out).

Adrian Peterson WAS RB – 28 touches, 166 yards, 1 TD, caught 2/3 targets and played on 56% of team snaps.

Why: He received 76% of the RB rush attempts and had his longest reception since 2015. Chris Thompson will get his work but Rob Kelly was not a factor.

Randall Cobb G.B. WR – Caught 9/10 targets, 142 yards, 1 TD.

Why: We will have to see if this game was an effect of Davante Adams being a little gimpy during the game but from what I could see Randall Cobb looked great with the ball in his hands and his quarterback luckily it’s still Aaron Rodgers.

Honorable mentions –

*TJ Yeldon JAX RB (Monitor Leonard Fournette injury, Potential waiver add)

*Phillip Lindsay DEN RB (Not big enough to handle the full workload but definitely looked electric. Potential waiver add)

*Seattle pass catchers (Monitor Doug Baldwin injury, Tyler Lockett, Brandon Marshall, and Will Dissly – potential waiver adds)

Week One Fallers:

LeSean McCoy BUF RB – 8 touches, 21 yards

Why: Better days are sure to come, but the question is how much better can they be in this offense.

DeShaun Watson HOU QB – 17/34, 174 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT. 8 Rush attempts/ 40 yards.

Why: Watson is still technically in his rookie season of starting games as this was his eighth start, and he looked shaky. He was highly inaccurate on multiple passes and couldn’t keep his eyes downfield. Those coupled with nervous feet in the pocket clearly showed us that he is still very young. (Monitor concussion symptoms)

Chris Hogan N.E. WR – Caught 1/5 targets, 11 yards.

Why:  With part of his value being that Edelman is out for 4 games, this dud really hurts. Coupled with the erratic nature of the New England Patriots skill-position usage, this is definitely a situation to monitor.

David Johnson ARI RB – 14 touches, 67 yards, 1 TD.

Why: much like LeSean McCoy this is based off the offense he plays in.

Travis Kelce K.C. TE – Caught 1/6 targets, 6 yards.

Why: A more downfield passing game could definitely affect Kelsey’s usage as it did in this game. He primarily runs short routes and spends a lot of time over the middle of the field as a TE.

Honorable mentions –

*The Colts RBs (Neither Nyheim Hines or Jordan Wilkins did anything to really assert themselves as the dominant RB in the absence of Marlon Mack. Mack is a potential waiver add if available.)

 

Matchup Proof and Failure:

Who Came Through?

Odell Beckham Jr. NYG WR – Caught 11/15 targets, 111 yards, 1 rush attempt/ -1 yard.

Why: Beckham went up against the top pass defense in the NFL and was a constant thorn in their sides. He looked back to full health and especially helped you in a PPR scoring format.

Who Let You Down?

Matthew Stafford DET QB – 27/46, 286 yards, 1 TD, 4 INTs. (Facing a bad New York Jets defense and starting opposite a rookie QB in his first ever start, Stafford looked as bad as we’ve seen him in a long time. He was also a little banged up in this game. Monitor his health in the upcoming days.)

Boom! and Blah…

Boom! 

Kenny Stills MIA WR – Caught 4/5 targets, 106 yards, 2 TDs. (Don’t expect this to be the norm.)

Blah…

Nelson Agholor PHI WR – Caught 8/10 targets, 33 yards, 1 rush attempt/16 yards, 1/1 passing/ 15 yards. (This might be the norm with Nick Foles under center.)

Fantasy Football Weekly MVP and LVP Candidates

(Ranks based on ownership.)

MVP (Most Valuable Player)

  1. James Conner PIT RB – (See above, Risers #2) If you picked him up as a Le’Veon Bell owner he was a lifesaver. If you just got lucky enough to snag him off waivers, you just got yourself an RB1 until Bell returns.
  2. Ryan Fitzpatrick T.B. QB – 21/28, 417 yards, 4 TD, 12 rush attempts, 38 yards, 1 TD. (He’s #2 because he was only started in deeper leagues or 2 QB formats. Potential waiver add)
  3. Rob Gronkowski N.E. TE – Caught 7/8 targets, 123 yards, 1 TD.
  4. Tyreek Hill K.C. WR – Caught 7/8 targets, 169 yards, 2 TD, 1 punt return TD.
  5. Alvin Kamara N.O. RB – 17 touches, 141 yards, 3 TDs, caught 9/12 targets, with one 2 pt. conversion.

LVP (Least Valuable Player)

  1. LeSean McCoy BUF RB – (See above, Fallers # 1) We will have to see what happens with the QB situation. A switch could help but this week he was completely ineffective.
  2. Travis Kelce K.C. TE – Caught 1/6 targets, 6 yards (Started everywhere)
  3. Kareem hunt K.C. RB – 16 touches,49 yards, and didn’t catch his lone target. (He was vultured twice near the goal line by Tyreek Hill and De’Anthony Thomas. Don’t panic yet.)
  4. Derrick Henry TEN RB – 11 touches, 31 yards, and caught his lone Target. (Dion Lewis was the much more effective RB)
  5. DeShaun Watson HOU QB – 17/34, 176 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT, and 8 rush attempts/40 yards. (See above, Fallers #2)

Injuries and the Ripple Effects

Here we will go over the major injury concerns for Fantasy Football and the Ripple effects that follow.

*Doug Baldwin (MCL sprain) With Baldwin expected to miss at minimum a couple weeks, keep an eye on which pass catcher takes over the lead role.

*Marcus Mariota (Elbow) With Blaine Gabbert taking over the quarterback duties I would tend to avoid the pass catchers from Tennessee. Hurry back Marcus!

*Leonard Fournette (Hamstring) If Fournette misses any significant time or if the injury lingers, TJ Yeldon could be an RB2 for your team.

*Greg Olsen (Foot) Look for Christian McCaffrey to get an uptick from Week 1 in his passing game work.

*Delanie Walker (Ankle)  Walker will miss the remainder of the season. Jonnu Smith will look to take over the role.

*DeSean Jackson (Concussion) If Jackson misses any time look for Chris Godwin to see a boost. He is not the same kind of player but few are.

*Jeremy Hill (ACL) This injury should lock Rex Burkhead into the goal line role. But we never can tell with N.E.

*Marquise Goodwin (Quadricep) Monitor the injury reports. Dante Pettis and Pierre Garcon could see a boost if he misses any time.

*Aaron Rodgers (Knee) He should be okay but keep an eye on the injury and practice reports this week.

*Devonta Freeman (Knee)  Freeman said after the game that he thought he would be okay for week 2 but monitor the injury and practice reports. If he misses any time Tevin Coleman is a locked-in high end RB2.

Other Noteworthy Performances in Fantasy Football

Wide Receiver

Michael Thomas N.O. WR (Caught 16/17 targets, 180 yards, 1 TD)

Antonio Brown PIT WR (Caught 9/16 targets, 93 yards, 1 TD)

Juju Smith-Schuster PIT WR (Caught 5/8 targets, 119 yards)

Mike Evans T.B. WR ( Caught 7/7, 147 yards, 1 TD)

Julio Jones ATL WR ( Caught 10/19 targets, 169 yards)

Emmanuel Sanders DEN WR (Caught 10/11 targets, 135 yards , 1 TD)

Adam Thielen MIN WR ( Caught 6/12 targets, 102 yards)

Keenan Allen LAC WR (Caught 8/11 targets, 108 yards, 1 TD)

Davante Adams G.B. WR (Caught 5/8 targets, 88 yards, 1 TD)

Tight End

Jordan Reed WAS TE (Caught 4/5 targets, 48 yards, 1 TD)

George Kittle SF TE (Caught 5\9 targets, 90 yards)

Jared Cook OAK TE ( Caught 9/12 targets, 180 yards)

Running Back

Todd Gurley LAR RB (23 touches, 147 yards, 1 TD)

Jordan Howard CHI RB (20 touches, 107 yards)

Melvin Gordon LAC RB (24 touches, 166 yards)

Isaiah Crowell NYJ RB ( 10 touches, 102 yards, 2 TD)

Saquon Barkley NYG RB (20 touches, 126 yards, 1 TD)

Jay Ajayi PHI RB (15 touches, 62 yards, 2 TD)

Quarterback

Patrick Mahomes KC QB (15/27, 256 yards, 4 TD, 5 carries, 21 yards)

Russell Wilson SEA QB (19/33, 298 yards, 3 TD, 2 INT, 2 carries, 5 yards)

Tom Brady N.E. QB (26/39, 277 Yards, 3 TD, 1 INT, 1 carry, 2 yards)

Joe Flacco BAL QB (25/34, 236 yards, 3 TD, 2 carries, 3 yards)

Andrew Luck IND QB (39/53, 319 yards, 2 TD, 1 INT, 1 carry, 7 yards)

Tyrod Taylor CLE QB (15/40, 197 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT, 8 carries, 77 yards, 1 TD)

 

Other General News and Notes from Around the NFL

 

ATL @ PHI

12 – 18

ATL – They still can’t figure out how to get Julio in the endzone.

PHI – Nick Foles completed one pass that traveled farther than 10 yards past the line of scrimmage. Outside of Zach Ertz, the pass catchers might not do you much good until Carson Wentz gets back.

BUF @ BAL

3 – 47

BUF – Josh Allen needs to start for this team to have any hope of scoring points. If that will even help.

BAL – All three running backs scored touchdowns.

JAX @ NYG

20 – 15

JAX – Blake Bortles is still Blake Bortles.

NYG – Saquon Barkley was largely ineffective until his huge touchdown run but that was the toughest defense he’ll play all year.

TB @ NO

48 – 40

T.B. – Ryan Fitzmagic is back. Winston’s job might not be safe.

N.O. – If their defense is this bad again, you can keep expecting huge games from Drew Brees in the past catchers.

HOU @ NE

20 – 27

HOU – DeShaun Watson needs to take some steps forward. He looked extremely shaky in his eighth NFL start. We knew last year couldn’t be 100% real.

N.E. – Rob Gronkowski is still the only every week reliable weapon for the Patriots.

SF @ MIN

16 – 24

S.F. – Jimmy Garoppolo might want to hold off on calling himself better than Tom Brady just yet.

MIN – Adam Thielen got the catches and the yards, but Stefon Diggs got the TD.

TEN @ MIA

20 – 27

TEN – Dion Lewis looked like a much better running back on Sunday.

MIA – Frank Gore just won’t go away.

CIN @ IND

34 – 23

CIN – This is Joe Mixon’s backfield.

IND – Andrew Luck looks like he got rid of the rest right about the middle of the first quarter. He might not lead the league in air yards again but he looked pretty good.

PIT @ CLE

21 – 21

PIT – Le’Veon Bell who? (Just kidding, I know he’s great.)

CLE – Josh Gordon is coming.

KC @ LAC

38 – 28

K.C. – Don’t Panic Kareem Hunt owners he got Andy Reid’d twice on shuffle passes.

LAC – Melvin Gordon is the man but Austin Ekeler has his role.

WAS @ ARI

24 – 6

WAS – Chris Thompson looks to be fully healthy now.

ARI – David Johnson, I’m sorry man…

SEA @ DEN

24 – 27

SEA – Will Dissly just kicked you right in the Vannett’s. (I can’t claim that one haha)

DEN – Do we have an RBBC? It sure looks like it.

DAL @ CAR

8 – 16

DAL -Dak needs to start throwing the ball, he’s holding on to it way too long.

CAR – Ron Rivera may have been exaggerating when he said they were going to give Christian McCaffrey 30 touches a game.

CHI @ GB

23 – 24

CHI – Matt Nagy Andy Reid’d it in the second half.

G.B. – AR 12 is the Greatest Of My Time.

NYJ @ DET

48 – 17

NYJ – Isaiah Crowell?

DET – Their running back Trio combined for 21 touches and 69 yards. Gross…

LAR @ OAK

33 – 13

LAR – Todd Gurley looks like 2017 wasn’t a fluke.

OAK- Marshawn is still a beast on limited work. 13 touches for 49 yards and 1 TD. he still has the ability to break tackles with the best of them.

 

My Weekly Hot Take

Well, it was the hot take in my first article and Michael Thomas really didn’t do anything to change my mind. WR1… but it’s starting to become a warm take. The Saints juggernaut took in a 37.7% target share week one, and I see no reason why that trend should change anytime soon.

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