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Flash: Fantasy Impact of Josh Gordon Trade

Flash to the Patriots

The Browns released a statement on Saturday afternoon stating that they would be releasing the athletic freak and one season wonder, Josh Gordon.

Fantasy Football and Arm-Chair GM twitter were up in arms when the news broke. An array of emotion was displayed on the internet as folks were either delighted, furious or clamoring for their team to immediately sign Flash Gordon. None of that matters today, though. Early Monday morning the Browns traded Josh to the Patriots. Per Adam Schefter, the Browns will receive a 2019 5th round pick for Gordon but they’ll also have to ship a 2019 7th round pick back to the Pats if he’s not active for 10 games. Other teams were also interested in Flash, but they were not willing to pay as much as New England.

 

Flash’s Career overview

After showing a very promising rookie season, Gordon has been through a myriad of suspensions violating the NFL’s substance abuse policy. He was suspended in 2013 for two games. Suspended in 2014 for eleven games. Suspended in 2015 for the entire season. Then he stepped away from football for the entirety of 2016. When he was ready to come back to football in 2017 he was finally reinstated to play week 13. 
 His complicated past doesn’t negate the fact that he’s had one of the most prolific second-year breakouts in recent memory. During his 2013 campaign, he posted 1646 receiving yards and nine touchdowns on 12 games started. His opportunity ratio during his breakout is rivaled to that of present-day Antonio Brown as you can see in the graph below.

Flash on the Pats

Now Gordon is a member of the super bowl contending New England Patriots. Reports are that he’ll be fine to play week 3 but He still needs to absorb the complicated Bill Belichick playbook. With this in mind, it’s reasonable to expect a low snap percentage for his first week on the team. Edelman doesn’t come back from suspension until week 5 which leaves Gordon as the clear-cut week 4 WR1. Why is it clear-cut you ask? Well, it’s because the Pats really haven’t found their go-to receiving option other than running back James White. I’ve provided the target share, targets, and air yards data below to give you an idea of their 2018 offense so far.

Finally, we fast forward to week 5… New England has Edelman fresh off suspension, a healthy Gronkowski, slot expert Chris Hogan, and the Flash Gordon fueling a high octane offense. With Brady as the field general, this potent mix of players will put up crazy numbers week over week. Crazy numbers mean crazy fantasy points and everyone will be fantasy relevant. So fasten your seat-belts and get ready for Flash to make the already potent Patriots better than ever!

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