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FFStatistics Waiver Wire : Week 4

“Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it”

(George Santayana).

Before putting a bow on each week I always think about this quote, the week as a whole, and focusing on not overeating to one week of stats. Those things being said, Week 3 brought us the Browns earning their first win in 635 days, a Bills win over the Vikings, the continuation of a cursed season of injuries for the San Francisco 49ers, Matt Patricia sticking it to the Patriots, and two near big injuries to top wide receivers. Focusing in a little more, this week’s waiver wire column will have more depth at wide receiver, while being thinner at running back and tight end.

Week 4 Waiver Wire Pickups

The “Bye Week Gauntlet” is scheduled to start.  Here are the teams on bye for Week 4:

  • Carolina Panthers
  • Washington Redskins

This article was developed to provide actionable advice for rosters and leagues of all sizes. At the conclusion of each section, there will be a “Next Player Up” that includes quick hitters on deeper league/dynasty league targets. 

Mike Williams, WR Los Angeles Chargers

The stars aligned for a great start to the season for Mike Williams. The loss of Hunter Henry creating vacant targets in the same area of the field Williams operates. This should have been a flashing sign going off for us. Currently leading his team in total Air Yards (236) on the season, Williams has the opportunity available to be a solid WR2 for the rest of 2018.

Calvin Ridley, WR Atlanta Falcons

In Week 1 of the season, Julio Jones represented 44% of his team’s target share. Since Week 1 Julio Jones has 24% of the Falcon’s target share. The focus has been shifted from Julio being the sole supporter of his offense’s receiving production to a significant contributor. The primary reason for this is the emergence of Ridley and his ability to take advantage of single coverage. Moving forward I expect coverage to role more Ridley’s direction, but you can’t take too much attention away from Julio Jones or Calvin Ridley will make you pay.

Javorious “Buck” Allen, RB Baltimore Ravens

Image a pesky fly not leaving you alone. Now call this fly Buck Allen. This is how Alex Collins fantasy owners feel about Buck Allen. I am also sorry to report Allen’s usage isn’t going away. Week 3 Allen vultured a goal-line score from Collins and also added 3/19/1 (on four targets) in the receiving game. Overall, this week’s running back waiver wire targets are going to be thin, but Buck Allen should be a high priority for owners who have overlooked him through the first three weeks.

John Brown, WR Baltimore Ravens

John Brown is the Baltimore Ravens WR1. Including Week 3, John Brown leads the Ravens in receiving yards, aDOT, and Air Yards. Brown is second in almost every other category, including total PPR points by a skill position player, Buck Allen is first with 47.2 to Brown’s 46.3.

Corey Clement, RB Philadelphia Eagles

The opportunity was ripe with both Sproles and Ajayi inactive for Week 3. It didn’t help matters with Smallwood stealing a rushing touchdown from Clement on the stat sheet. We should stay optimistic. The workload for Clement was promising, he out-touched Smallwood by a margin of 19 to 13 and we don’t know how long Ajayi and Sproles will be out for. We at least know Clement has a defined role and is productive in it.

Tyler Boyd, WR Cincinnati Bengals

Going from the second chair to the first chair due to A.J. Green’s groin injury, Boyd made the most of his opportunity. Six catches on seven targets for 132 receiving yards and a score. Getting excited about Boyd after his strong performance is understandable, but we need to temper expectations. Boyd is excelling without Mixon in the lineup and Green missing part of the game. I would stay aggressive trying to acquire Boyd, but don’t blow your budget.

Aaron Jones/ Ty Montgomery, RB Green Bay Packers

The Packers were not in the right type of game script to utilize incumbent starter Jamaal Williams, but Aaron Jones was about to display his game-breaking ability and Ty Montgomery still displayed his signature versatility to the Packers offense. Both of these talented running backs should only be considered stash options.

Antonio Callaway, WR Cleveland Browns

The Box Score lies to us every week. If I were to read the box score to you then you would only see a 4/20/0 (on 10 targets) for Week 3. You would be missing an underthrown ball by Tyrod Taylor for a likely touchdown and a dropped reception. Going deeper, Antonio Callaway was tied for third on the week with 185 yards and an increase to 90% snap share (17% in Week 1). Rookie wide receivers are always volatile, but Callaway will see the opportunities come quickly.

Chris Ivory, RB Buffalo Bills

Volume in fantasy football is king and efficiency often takes a backseat. In Week 3 Ivory was able to accumulate 126 yards rather inefficiently. There have been no updates on LeSean McCoy’s status going into Week 4 and Ivory could be facing a Green Bay Packers run defense that was just gashed by Adrian Peterson

Dallas Goedert, TE Philadelphia Eagles

Carson Wentz returned to a decimated receiving group. Alshon Jeffery out, Mike Wallace out, Jordan Matthews’ first week rejoining the team and Carson Wentz needed an answer.  Enter Dallas Goedert who finished with 7/73/1 (on seven targets) receiving on the day. Goedert should only be a desperation tight end play, but his 18.9% market share is promising while so many other receiving options are out and if something happens to Ertz.

Baker Mayfield, QB Cleveland Browns

The Baker Era has begun. With Tyrod leaving the game against the Jets in Week Three the door quickly opened for Mayfield to step in and seize the starting quarterback job in Cleveland. There are plenty of clichés I could start using at this point. “The Browns played with more energy” or “you could tell the crowd was behind Mayfield” and my favorite “Mayfield wanted the win”. The truth is the offense ran smoother with Baker Mayfield in the game. Timing routes were on time, the ball wasn’t held too long, and skill position players were given the opportunity to create after the catch.

Honorable Mention

Ronald Jones, RB Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Peyton Barber seems to only be a placeholder for RoJo.

Christian Kirk, WR Arizona Cardinals – The Cardinals are bad and need more than what Larry Fitzgerald can offer. Kirk led the Cardinals in targets this week.

Geronimo Allison, WR Green Bay Packers – I’m sorry Peter Howard (@pahowdy).

As always please feel free to reach out to me on Twitter @TimNFL.

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