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Sleepers and Busts: Week 6

Week6: the week fantasy team managers start to blow up their own teams in an effort to get fresh players. Those 0-5 and 1-4 owners start getting desperate and are more likely to accept trade offers. I for one am very excited to get some new players on my team at a discount (meaning I’m most excited about adding more Rams receivers to my teams). What Sleepers or Busts should you be targeting (or avoiding) heading into Week 6?

Sleepers and Busts: Week 6

Sleepers


Latavius Murray, Minnesota Running Back, vs. ARI

I can hear you now – but Becka, Murray has been extremely disappointing since Cook has been out. But look at the past few weeks – in Week 3, the Vikings were blown out by the Bills, nullifying the run game. In Week 4, they played the Rams; and in Week 5 the Eagles. Those are some tough run defenses! This week the Vikings play the Cardinals – a much easier test. The Cardinals have allowed seven rushing touchdowns and two receiving touchdowns to running backs. The Cardinals have actually allowed the most fantasy points to running backs this season. The heat map below shows that Murray can be an effective runner, especially to the left side of the line. With Cook out again, Murray faces a tasty matchup in Week 6.

 

Julian Edelman, New England Wide Receiver, vs. KC

I was so excited about Edelman last week you guys. I started him with high hopes. And while he only had 10 fantasy points, he did have nine targets. This week he has a cushy matchup with the Chiefs – who have allowed 1,802 passing yards this year. This means that Brady should be pass happy and looking to keep sending targets Edelman’s way. You can see from the heat map below that Kansas City allows a high completion percentage in short yardage situations. This is where Edelman thrives. Fire up Edelman with confidence in Week 6.

 

Andy Dalton, Cincinnati Quarterback, vs. PIT

Dalton has a great matchup this week. Pittsburgh has allowed the most passing touchdowns so far this year (13) and the Bengals will have to pass a lot to keep up with that high-powered Steelers offense. Dalton already has 12 touchdowns this year and has had two games with over 300 yards. I predict Dalton to have another big game in Week 6.


Busts


Christian McCaffrey, Carolina Running Back, @ WAS

It’s not like I’m expecting McCaffrey to totally bust this week – I’m just not expecting him to have a great game. The Redskins defense has been stiff against running backs this year. The Redskins defense has only allowed:

  • 162 receiving yards
  • 27 catches
  • 74 rush attempts
  • 4 touchdowns

To running backs this season. In his last eight road games, McCaffrey has only gone over 20 fantasy points once. This game is set up for McCaffrey to have a down Week 6 on the road.

 

Blake Bortles, Jacksonville Quarterback, @ DAL

Bortles is not a great road quarterback. As you can see from the home/road split below, Bortles scores over four points less per game on the road. In his last eight road games, he has three double-digit performances. The Dallas defense has only allowed six passing touchdowns this season. Don’t pick Bortles up for a bye week substitute in Week 6.

 

Taylor Gabriel, Chicago Wide Receiver, @ MIA

Gabriel is highly touted coming into Week 6. But I would use caution this week. Miami has allowed the sixth-fewest points to wide receivers this year, and only three touchdowns. Gabriel has only scored two touchdowns this year, both coming in Week 5. My money is on Gabriel not scoring a touchdown in Week 6.

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