The final BYE week is here and boy is it a doozy even with only two teams on a bye. In a week where we are all jockeying for position in the playoffs, there may not be a worse time to lose both the Kansas City Chiefs and the L.A. Rams. Everyone should hold tight and hopefully, the waiver wire adds this week will help you weather the storm.
FFStatistics Waiver Wire: Week 12
Tre’Quan Smtih, WR New Orleans Saints
When writing the waiver wire articles I emphasize the big picture and zooming out on a player. In the case of Smith, it is important for me to share how important it is not to go overboard with adding Smith to our rosters. Tre’quan Smith is a cautionary tale of what not to chase off the waiver wire. While Smith is talented and on one of the best offenses in the NFL we should also look at his entire body of work over the season. Week 11 was the second time all season Smith had over 100 yards receiving. Outside of Week 11, Smith has only one other game where he received above five targets.
ESPN Ownership: 13.3%
Yahoo Ownership: 26%
Josh Adams, RB Philadelphia Eagles
The opportunities continue rolling towards Adams and in Week 12 Josh Adams draws a great match-up against the New York Giants. The Giants have allowed their opponent’s leading running back to go for 51-356-3 rushing over their last three games. While Josh Adams is not getting the full workload he is definitely in line to be a top-24 running back in Week 12.
ESPN Ownership: 27.9%
Yahoo Ownership: 32%
Anthony Miller, WR Chicago Bears
Everything is trending the right way for Anthony Miller right now. Snap share has increased weekly, stays involved weekly, and has become a reliable target for Mitchell Trubisky. The best part of Anthony Miller is the upcoming schedule (Lions, Giants, and Rams) and a Week 16 match-up against the San Fransico 49ers. In fact, Miller has zero games below three targets this season and has at least one red zone target in each of his last five games.
ESPN Ownership: 49.1%
Yahoo Ownership: 42%
D.J. Moore, WR Carolina Panthers
Before the Panthers bye, in Week 4, Moore was averaging under one target per game. Since their bye, Moore has averaged five targets per game and, in Week 11, had his best game of the season. The Panthers offense has been shifting away from Devin Funchess, who will be a free agent at the end of the season, and wants to build the chemistry between Cam and his future top wide receiver.
ESPN Ownership: 32%
Yahoo Ownership: 39%
Theo Riddick, RB Detroit Lions
The Lions backfield is about to get LIT AF. Kerryon Johnson is likely out in Week 12, on Thanksgiving Day, and LeGarrette Blount has shown NOTHING so far this season. There is a possibility the Lions call someone in via free agency, but their best option is Theo Riddick and relying on the short passing game. This could mean 10+ targets and set a season-high in rushing opportunity. Four rushes is currently Riddick’s season high.
ESPN Ownership: 33.1%
Yahoo Ownership: 33%
Elijah McGuire, RB New York Jets
**REPEAT** If you haven’t read The Fantasy Football Rushing Report by Jesse Reeves you are missing out. This week specifically Jesse dove into the New York Jets backfield. Building on Jesse’s great points we can see McGuire is building a strong foundation in the Jets backfield. Over the last two weeks, McGuire has out-snapped Isaiah Crowell and equaled Crowell in touches. The difference comes in total opportunities (touches + targets). McGuire is receiving more opportunities than Crowell and has taken over Bilal Powell’s role in the offense. McGuire should be considered the top add of the week at running back if an obvious pick-up isn’t out there.
ESPN Ownership: 17%
Yahoo Ownership: 14%
Peyton Barber, RB Tampa Bay Buccaneers
This season hasn’t worked out like I wanted to with Peyton Barber. He is getting the snaps, but the Buccaneers defense has been giving up a lot of points and has forced the offense to become more passing oriented. In Week 11 Barber finally started getting the treatment he has earned. In fact, Barber has double-digit opportunities in every game in 2018 except for one. Barber shouldn’t be expected to be more than a FLEX option, but in weeks when the Bucs have a balanced game script, he should be expected to put up quality fantasy points.
ESPN Ownership: 64.3%
Yahoo Ownership: 61%
Seth Roberts, WR Oakland Raiders
The Raiders just don’t have many pass-catchers left. Jordy Nelson is out due to injury, Martavis Bryant is out due to injury, and now Brandon LaFell is out due to injury. Seth Roberts is the next man up and in Week 11 drew seven targets. Most people will be drawn towards Marcell Ateman (rookie) because he led the Raiders in receiving. I am drawn towards Seth Roberts. He is a professional receiver who has been involved in the offense all season. Marcell Ateman is a practice squad rookie who was drafted late and hasn’t proven anything in the NFL. Again, temper expectations for the rookie and we should trust someone who has been here before.
ESPN Ownership: 0.6%
Yahoo Ownership: 1%
As always please feel free to reach out to me on Twitter @TimNFL.