FFStatistics NFL Mock Draft 1.0
The season is over, but that doesn’t mean you have to leave football on pause till next season. Let this detailed mock draft satisfy your football needs. Be sure to check out the last page for how each draft pick would affect that player’s fantasy outlook.
1. Arizona Cardinals – Quinnen Williams, DL, Alabama
Team Needs: OL, EDGE, DB, LB, WR
No, the Arizona Cardinals will not take Nick Bosa here. The scheme fit is just not there and even though that shouldn’t be a factor in deciding the first overall pick, it will be. Enter in my #3 prospect from this 2019 class, Quinnen Williams. There is honestly not much of a difference between Williams and Bosa. He earned the highest grade ever given by Pro Football Focus to an interior defensive lineman (and he did this as a redshirt sophomore). This guy can play the nose, the two and the three. He brings power, speed, and explosiveness to the defensive line. My favorite quality that he has is his ability to fix his mistakes quickly.
*Below, you can see the dominance Q.W. has compared to Bosa. Yes, they play different positions on the defensive line, but that is not the reason for Q.W.’s better numbers.
2. San Francisco 49ers – Nick Bosa, Edge, Ohio State
Team Needs: EDGE, DB, WR, S
Into John Lynch’s lap falls Nick Bosa. This guy can rush the passer with the best of them. I think he is the “better Bosa”. This is exactly what the 49ers need in my opinion. someone with great hand movement, power, and agility. Their pass rush is extremely underwhelming. The answer to their D-line problems was thought to be Solomon Thomas, DeForest Buckner, and Arik Armstead. The real solution to this problem is Nick Bosa.
3. Washington Redskins (via Jets) – Dwayne Haskins, QB, Ohio State
Team Needs: QB, WR, OL, DL
After seeing the Alex Smith injury and reading about all of the complications, you cannot convince me right now he is coming back to football. The Redskins have many holes in their roster but the biggest is QB. Yes, they can go with the likes of Josh Johnson or Colt McCoy but I do not see that happening. If the Skins do not attack the QB position in free agency, I expect a trade into the top 5. This allows them to pick their QB of the future. Haskins has had a 134.8 passer rating when throwing from a clean pocket. If you have watched the Redskins over the past two years, you know he won’t always have clean pockets. The hope is Haskins can overcome this with his great accuracy and a strong arm.
4. Oakland Raiders – Josh Allen, Edge, Kentucky
Team Needs: EDGE, WR, DB, RB, LB
The Raiders felt the pain of losing Khalil Mack, and now their top priority becomes finding the next Khalil Mack. The best player in this draft capable of being that? Josh Allen. No, not the big-armed QB from last year. I am talking about the 2018 NCAA Sack Leader and top-rated EDGE rusher according to Pro Football Focus. This guy dominated the SEC conference and he will dominate instantly in the NFL. The sky’s the limit.
5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers – DeAndre Baker, CB, Georgia
Team Needs: DB, DE, OT, RB
DeAndre Baker is the best DB in this class. The Raiders could possibly take Baker if Josh Allen is gone by their pick. The weakest part of the Bucs is their defense, the weakest part of the defense is the secondary. Their secondary allowed the 7th most passing years this past season. For the 2019 season, the projected starters are Vernon Hargreaves and Carlton Davis. That is not a fearsome duo.
What would be fearsome is a corner that can read the quarterback perfectly and is the most instinctive DB in the class. DeAndre Baker can slide into the CB1 spot on day one and lock down receivers with his elite coverage skills.
6. New York Giants – Kyler Murray, QB, Oklahoma
Team Needs: QB, OL, DL, DB
The Giants have a great arsenal of talent on offense. They have a top-5 running back and top-5 receiver. Add in Sterling Shepard, Evan Engram, and an improved offensive line, and you have one spot left to improve: QB. Kyler Murray is a polarizing prospect. Picking him has arguably the most risk of any player in this year’s class.
So why would the Giants waste a pick on Murray? Upside. Murray comes with great upside, and he can definitely light the league on fire, especially with weapons like the Giants have. This also appeals to Murray’s will to stay playing football because it provides him with a top tier supporting cast. I expect the Giants to take a QB at this spot, and with Haskins gone, Murray is the only pick that makes sense here, to me.
*For the record, I take anything Murray says with a grain of salt.
7. Jacksonville Jaguars – N’Keal Harry, WR, Arizona
Team Needs: QB, WR, TE, OL
100%, the biggest need for the Jaguars is the quarterback position. The quarterback has been the problem for at least the past 3 years. Even though the Jags could sign a new QB in free agency, the Jags will continue to ignore it in the draft. N’Keal Harry is the most complete WR and Pro-Ready WR in this class. The offense has lacked firepower since letting Allen Robinson go. Harry can come in and have a role right away on any offense. It just so happens, this is the offense that needs a player like him the most.
8. Detroit Lions – Greedy Williams, CB, LSU
Team Needs: TE, EDGE, DB, WR
Greedy Williams is an NFL ready cornerback that excels at press coverage. Deshawn Shead and Marcus Cooper are both set to be free agents and I do not see Nevin Lawson being an imposing matchup at corner. Greedy has good footwork and vertical speed. He is also smooth in his movements when changing directions. This will give Detroit the boost it needs in their secondary.
9. Buffalo – Jonah Williams, OT, Alabama
Team Needs: OL, WR, DB
Williams can step in and start immediately in Buffalo. The Bills are losing Jordan Mills to free agency and may not resign him. That leaves a big hole at tackle. Josh Allen is expected to be the QB of the future, so now the priority is to build around him. This pick will fortify the starting offensive line at the tackle position, pairing Jonah Williams with Dion Dawkins. Williams was a three-year starter for the Crimson Tide and can step in at any position on the offensive line, besides center.
This makes him the most valuable asset at this spot for the Buffalo Bills, with 3 out of their 5 starting lineman becoming free agents.
10. Denver – Drew Lock, QB, Missouri
Team Needs: QB, DB, TE, WR
Cincinnati and Miami both follow the Broncos in the draft order. Both of those teams need a quarterback. That is the simple reason why John Elway will draft the quarterback he is so infatuated with. Elway will not let a potential franchise quarterback slip away at this spot.
Drew Lock has an amazing skill set. He has a solid build with a huge arm. Lock can also move around well inside and outside of the pocket. The Missouri QB improved each and every year that he started. The IQ and solid attributes will transfer well into an offense full of young talent with promise.
11. Cincinnati Bengals – Jawaan Taylor, OT, Florida
Team Needs: LB, TE, OL
What a monster. That is what I say to myself every time I watch Jawaan Taylor on tape. The size-speed combination that he provides in eye-popping. Taylor moves his hips and slides his steps so well that it gives him the upper hand on almost any matchup. He is a long, punishing run blocker that will be able to give the Bengals’ a boost in their run game.
12. Green Bay Packers – Clelin Ferrell, Edge, Clemson
Team Needs: EDGE, WR, TE, OL
If Ferrell falls to the Packers at this spot, they will think Christmas came early. Ferrell has the size and skills that can propel him to be a top edge rusher in the league. Ferrell produced 50.5 tackles for loss and 27 sacks at Clemson. His size, techniques, and ability to stretch the edge will be just what the Packer’s need.
13. Miami Dolphins – Daniel Jones, QB, Duke
Team Needs: QB, DE, OL
Reports are coming out daily that read, “Dolphins plan on cutting Ryan Tannehill”. Out with one risky quarterback option, in with another risky quarterback option. Yes, Jones has the potential to be a good pick and a serviceable quarterback.
But no, Jones is not ready for the NFL. Miami knows they need a QB, and if the position is not addressed in free agency, this is the pick they will be forced to make.
14. Atlanta Falcons – Ed Oliver, DL, Houston
Team Needs: EDGE, OG, DT
Terrell Mcclain and Grady Jarrett could both be on the outs in Atlanta. Ed Oliver falling to Atlanta here would be a blessing.
Oliver is an athletic freak. If he impresses at the combine, there is a big chance he may get top 5. If the Falcons can somehow manage to resign Grady Jarrett and draft Ed Oliver, they will give opponents headaches for years to come.
15. New York Jets (via Washington) – Rashan Gary, Edge, Michigan
Team Needs: DL, OL, WR, RB
Gary is a raw talent but has tremendous upside. This is a top prospect at defensive line that can be a game changer and game-wrecker for the New York Jets. Steve Mclendon (DT) and Henry Anderson (RE) are also free agents this off-season.
16. Carolina Panthers –Brian Burns, Edge, Florida State
Team Needs: EDGE, OL, S
This pick makes too much sense for it not to happen. Youth and talent are both lacking on the Carolina defense. Burns’ is a smart edge rusher that can use his length to get around an offensive tackle. His burst and ability to learn on the fly will give the CAR defense a boost in the sack department. Burns’ ability to force fumbles and tackles for loss should be the spark that Carolina needs on the edge.
17. Cleveland Browns – Cody Ford, OT/OG, Oklahoma
Team Needs: OT, WR, DB
The Browns need to build around Baker Mayfield and they know it. What better way to do so than solidify his offensive line more with a young versatile lineman. Cody Ford can be a dominant force at the guard or tackle position and comes from the same team Baker played for two seasons ago.
18. Minnesota Vikings – Greg Little, OT, Ole Miss
Team Needs: OL, LB, DT
Greg Little can be a nice addition to the Vikings offensive line. This will be their top priority coming into this draft. Other possible picks here for the Vikings could be Cody Ford or Jawaan Taylor if they are still available. Kirk Cousins does well when given the time to throw, and that is exactly why this will be the targeted position and pick here.
19. Tennessee Titans – Jachai Polite, Edge, Florida
Team Needs: WR, EDGE, I-OL
Most have the Titans taking an offensive piece, usually a receiver, right here. I think those people are wrong. Polite can provide a speedy rush option on the outer edge. He racked up 19.5 tackles for loss, along with 11 sacks, while also producing 6 forced fumbles this year. When watching his Florida film, you can see he has game-changing burst, quick hands and a nose for the ball.
20. Pittsburgh Steelers – Byron Murphy, CB, Washington
Team Needs: DB, ILB, EDGE
Joe Haden is expected to be out the door. Artie Burns is a burnable corner and most teams take advantage of it now. Byron Murphy has amazing speed, great explosiveness, and just as good of ball skills, if not better, than Greedy Williams. He is a solid lock-down corner that can help the Steelers instantly.
21. Seattle Seahawks – Montez Sweat, Edge, Mississippi State
Team Needs: EDGE, DT, OL
It used to be that teams would dread facing the Legion of Boom. Now, they feast on the Legion. Montez Sweat can bring back some of the grit to this defense. Sweat is fluid in his technique and can provide a great option on pass rush plays in Seattle.
22. Baltimore Ravens – Kelvin Harmon, WR, NC State
Team Needs: WR, EDGE, OL
The Ravens are set with Lamar Jackson being the face of the franchise going forward. Now they need to build around him. The Raven’s wide receiver corps consisted of Michael Crabtree, John Brown and Willie Snead. Those are not the names you want to count on week to week. The opportunity to start a turn around starts with this pick.
Kelvin Harmon is a solid pro-ready receiver with amazing ball skills, quick feet, great route running ability and skills to win contested catches. Even with this pick, it does not mean the Ravens will shy away from their ever so consistent run-heavy offense. Harmon is the best blocking wide receiver in this class, which fits the scheme in Baltimore perfectly.
23. Houston Texans – Dalton Risner, OL, Kansas State
Team Needs: OL, S, DB
Deshaun Watson was sacked 62 times this past season. For that reason alone, this pick NEEDS to be offensive line help. Dalton Risner was a four-year starter at Kansas State. Risner is a physical blocker with an array of skills to play any position needed on the offensive line. He can drive defenders in any direction as he pleases and has the strength that can be the deciding factor in tough matchups. He is a day one starter for any team he lands on.
24. Oakland Raiders (via Chicago) – AJ Brown, WR, Ole Miss
Team Needs: EDGE, WR, DB, RB, LB
The Raiders have a plethora of weaknesses and if you watched Oakland last season, you know WR is the main need on offense. This is why AJ Brown is the pick for the Oakland Raiders at 24. He is a big bodied slot receiver that can be relied upon to consistently move the chains. He also has great hands and can make contested catches with the best of them. Add in his superb route running and his beyond average RAC ability and you have a recipe for success at the wide receiver position.
25. Philadelphia Eagles – Jeffery Simmons, DT, Mississippi State
Team Needs: DL, OT, DB, S
This is a football pick, not a PR pick. Simmons is a top-15 talent in this year’s draft. He is always full systems go, does not take plays off, and he is strong as an ox. He will be able to disrupt the interior at the line of scrimmage for any team. In a division where teams rely on their running backs more than not, this is exactly what Philly needs.
26. Indianapolis Colts – Jaylon Ferguson, Edge, Louisiana Tech
Team Needs: DL, OL, WR, DB
I was going to predict an interior rusher here for Indy’s defensive line but I chose an edge rusher instead. Jaylon Ferguson rushes the edge with a head of steam. He can also bull rush and push tackles or guards into the backfield and clog the hole. Adding this to a line with Sheard and Tyquan Lewis would make Indy a force to be reckoned as a defensive line.
27. Oakland Raiders (via Dallas) – Darrell Henderson, RB, Memphis
Team Needs: EDGE, WR, DB, RB, LB
Hear me out. I don’t see this happening, but I feel like this is exactly what the Raiders need to do. The perfect combination of hands, agility, power, and speed is what you get with Darrell Henderson. Henderson can lower his shoulder and run a linebacker or defensive end over. He is a game-breaker that is a threat to score on any play. This pick, along with the pick of a solid wide receiver at 24, would turn around the Raider’s offense as soon as week 1.
28. Los Angeles Chargers – Andre Dillard, OT, Washington State
Team Needs: DT, OT, LB
If Andre Dillard somehow falls to the Chargers at this slot, this may end up the steal of the draft for them. He will provide youth and a young anchor for this offensive line. Dillard has the potential to be the best lineman out of this class. Pro Football Focus gave him the second highest pass blocking grade this season and one look at the film will show you why (I recommend the Oregon St. film).
29. Kansas City – Amani Oruwariye, CB, Penn State
Team Needs: DB, S, EDGE
I watched Oruwariye in the Senior Bowl and I was highly impressed. He had the highest win rate during the 1-on-1s and showed above average footwork. He is one of the best zone coverage corners in this draft class and fits the hybrid zone scheme that KC uses on defense.
30. Green Bay Packers – T.J. Hockenson, TE, Iowa
Team Needs: EDGE, WR, TE, OL
Green Bay waits to snag a tight end and gets rewarded with the best one in this class. I expect Jimmy Graham to be out the door (or traded) and replaced by this phenom. Hockenson can run, catch, and block. He can do anything you want him to. This may just be a player that can help unlock another level of Aaron Rodgers’ greatness.
31. Los Angeles Rams – Mack Wilson, LB, Alabama
Team Needs: EDGE, DT, DB
Come on, you knew a Bama star would appear again in this mock. Mack Wilson was a staple on the Crimson Tide defense. He plays well in space and attacks the ball with great speed. He is the perfect linebacker to match-up with a running back or tight end in coverage. Mack can slide in and become a three-down starter on defense for the Rams.
32. New England Patriots – Noah Fant, TE, Iowa
Team Needs: DL, WR, QB, TE
If Gronk retires, I may put money on this pick. Noah Fant has the upside to become a great weapon in the Patriot’s offense. He is great at tracking the ball in the open field and he can gain a good bit of yards after the catch. Fant has strong hands that allow him to win contested catches and his route running is not to be slept on. He reminds me of Gronk for some reason…
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