Welcome to FFStatistics! This website aims to be your one-stop-shop for fantasy football data and statistics! Each tab contains different, sortable data for your fantasy football data needs. If you use the data, all we ask is you mention where you got it, from us! Unless otherwise noted, all formats are PPR and 4 points per passing TD.
Analytics is becoming an increasingly hot topic in the football world, perhaps most noticeably with decision-making scenarios that were previously seen as a given. Punt if you're out of field goal range? Kick the extra point if you're down by eight points after a touchdown? Both these status-quo situations are being challenged analytically by incredibly smart people in the industry, and it’s bringing to light the power applied probabilities can have on the game of football.
Today, I want to dive deeply into a concept I consistently see people misinterpret regarding the two-point conversion and its trade-off to simply kicking an extra point. The problem, as I see it, lies in the interpretation of Expected Value. Several discussions on the value of the two-point conversion, both on Twitter and through mediums like television and radio, have led people to the following conclusion; if the Expected Value of the two-point conversion is greater than the Expected Value of the extra point, then teams should, in theory, always go for two. I’m here today to show you why this seemingly obvious statement is wrong.
PREMIUM MEMBERSHIP REQUIRED.
Please login below or Join FFStatistics to view this article and more!