Justice Hill: Fantasy Scouting Report
One of this years most exciting prospects, Justice Hill validated his strong game tape with an equally strong combine performance. Hill has the skills of a workhorse and has a solid base that should help ease pro workload concerns. An explosive back who placed first in the broad jump and vertical testing, Hill has seen his dynasty stock soar.
School: Oklahoma State
Weight: 198 pounds
D.O.B: 11/14/1997 (age 21)
Justice Hill was not heavily recruited coming out of high school. He generated only four offers before deciding to stay in state and choose Oklahoma State. Hill posted back to back 1,000 yard rushing seasons before finishing with 930 in his junior season. While Hill saw his yards-per-carry increase, he saw less carries in 2018. He essentially operated in a three-way timeshare with Chuba Hubbard and QB Taylor Cornelius. Hill saw only 13 receptions in 2018, after seeing 31 in 2017 with Mason Rudolph.
Justice Hill is an wild running burner with good elusiveness. He boasts an every down skillset, and was able to answer size concerns by showing up to the combine at 198 lbs. Hill has 4.40 wheels, and runs with deceptive power. Hill has a fan favorite style as he appears to thrive on contact. He exhibits great shiftiness and cutback ability, and could hit the ground running if he lands in the right scheme.
Hill showed off his explosiveness in 2018 with 27 runs over 10 yards, nine over 20, and five over 30. As mentioned above with Mason Rudolph off to the pros and Taylor Cornelius manning center and siphoning over 100 carries, Hill saw a drastic reduction in touches in 2018. Hill posted 47 runs over 10 yards, 16 over 20, and eight over 30 in 2017.
Oklahoma State's Justice Hill was first among RBs in three different combine drills, including the 40-yard dash! 🏃♂️💨
📺: NFL Network pic.twitter.com/EoDDrXw1et
— SportsCenter (@SportsCenter) March 1, 2019
Hill recorded the best 40 yard dash time for a running back. This is all the more impressive when one considers that he likely added some bulk since the end of the college season.
This play from Justice Hill helps highlight his electricity in the open field. After running a 4.40 at the combine Hill will see both his NFL Draft stock, and dynasty stock rise. pic.twitter.com/Jl9Jt5SIde
— WinMyFantasyLeague (@fantasysportdoc) March 4, 2019
On this play, Hill shows off his explosion and elusivity. He utilizes his vision and elusiveness to evade the first tackler before kicking it into second gear. The combine proved that Hill has good game speed as well as long speed. Hill forced 33 missed tackles in 2018.
This play shows off Justice Hill’s electricity. An exciting runner with homerun ability this is one of Hill’s most exciting runs of the season.
Justice Hill has excellent hands. He saw his receptions drop in 2018 but that has more to do with a change in scheme and a severe downgrade at QB with Mason Rudolph departed for the Pittsburgh Steelers. Hill had some pass protection woes on tape, but the hope here is that he can hold up better with added bulk. Effort was never the issue, rather it appeared to be a technique and size issue. The former can be taught, and he seems to have made strides in the size department.
Justice Hill was much more impressive as a receiver in 2017 with an NFL caliber QB in Mason Rudolph. He picked up more yards on this play than he did in any game in 2018.#NFLDraft #DraftTwitter pic.twitter.com/iPbnZ4AFJj
— WinMyFantasyLeague (@fantasysportdoc) March 4, 2019
This is a play that helps highlight Hill’s upside as a receiver. Being able to win on a simple dump off and take it for 25 plus yards highlights his potential as a receiver. He is able to accelerate and gain an extra 10-15 yards simply due to his electric speed and balance.
Based on his athletic testing Jamaal Charles, and Reggie Bush are close comparisons based on his size, weight, speed score, 40-time, and burst score. With that said Hill is a much different player than both. Reggie Bush always looked to bounce his runs to the outside, while Hill has no problems running up the gut repeatedly. Hill was a more productive college back, while Bush saw more work in the passing game. Jamaal Charles is the all time leader in yards per carry for a running back, so it would be folly to compare Hill to him at this juncture. Names that come to mind include Phillip Lindsay with better hands, and DeVonta Freeman with more talent.
Hill much like Freeman is a wild runner who appears to thrive on contact. Hill is more athletically gifted, but the running style is where the comparison comes into play. He showed up to the combine much bigger than Phillip Lindsay but both are exciting runners who can operate as every down backs. Hill appears to have more juice, especially when size is factored in, but game speed and testing speed are two different things entirely. These two running backs represent what we can expect as far as his NFL ceiling is concerned. Both of the backs mentioned have performed at an RB1 level, so this is high praise indeed.
Justice Hill likely solidified himself as a day two pick who will be drafted to compete for touches. Hill has homerun ability and clocking in with the fastest 40-time for a running back has undoubtedly helped his draft stock. Hill has an every down skillset, but may start out in a committee to start his career. Like with most prospects landing spot will be key. Hill profiles as an upside RB2 as long as he is not drafted by a team with a current fantasy RB1.
In dynasty leagues, Hill has likely seen his stock skyrocket. I was able to steal him at 17th overall in our pre-combine mock draft, but he will likely climb up to the late first in our coming mock. If you have designs on landing Hill in your upcoming rookie draft, acquiring a pick in the 1.07-2.03 range is recommended. I have moved Hill back up to 13th overall from the 14th I had him at prior to the combine. Hill has enough juice as a runner, and enough upside as a receiver to receive feature touches on the right team. Act accordingly.