Who Sits on the Iron Throne: Dynasty Edition
Who Sits on the Iron Throne: Dynasty Edition
As one of the most watched series of all time winds down, a new season begins for fantasy football. You do not have to search very hard to find top-10 lists for anything. At FFS, we decided to marry two of the greatest things ever: Game of Thrones and fantasy football. For entertainment purposes only, we compare the top-10 houses in Westeros to the FFStatistics teams consensus rankings. Let us dig in.
#10-Nick Chubb is House Mormont
In season 6, Lyanna Mormont says “we are not a large house but we are a proud house.” The same can be said for Nick Chubb truthers. There is a small group of them out there, but there should be a larger “house” of supporters for Chubb. A look at the player data tool from FFS shows the explosiveness Chubb can bring to your fantasy squad.
Chubb ranks as the RB6 at FFS. You should be “proud” to own him on your dynasty team as he could finish as a top-five running back for fantasy in a high powered Cleveland Browns offense. A full writeup on the Browns offensive potential can be read here. More importantly, you can find projections for all of the Cleveland Brown skill players there from our own fantasy expert Michael Zingone.
#9-Michael Thomas is House Baratheon
Gendry is the last known survivor of House Baratheon. The bastard child of Robert Baratheon appears poised to have a large role in the final season of Thrones. Michael Thomas is also in line to have a large role with the New Orleans Saints yet again. This gem from Anthony Staggs of FFS, tells you all you need to know about Michael Thomas.
There are 150 of these gems from Mr. Staggs here. Give them a read.
#8-Todd Gurley is House Greyjoy
House Greyjoy is known for paying the iron price. This is fitting for Todd Gurley since his usage has him currently paying that price with his body. Todd Gurley is currently dealing with arthritis in his knee. When healthy, the former Georgia Bulldog is one of the best in the business. Gurley has averaged 307.25 touches per year in his four years in the league. That includes a low of 250 in 2015 under Jeff Fisher. Finally, take a look at the yearly finishes for the stud running back.
In fact, Todd Gurley has been more consistent than perennial studs Le’Veon Bell and David Johnson.
#7-Davante Adams is House Bolton
House Bolton’s motto is “our blades are sharp.” Davante Adams is sharp on the field. First, Aaron Rodgers loves looking the Fresno State grad’s way on Sundays (113.4 targets per year). Second, he has been very durable. Adams has played in at least 13 games in each of his five seasons in the league. Third, Adams finished above the positional average every week last year. That is impressive.
Last, you can read a full summary of what to expect from the Green Bay Packers on offense next year here.
#6-Odell Beckham is House Arryn
House Arryn may be known best for their emotions. Robin Arryn and Odell Beckham have famously thrown very public tantrums. Beckham may have a reputation as a diva, but his dominance while on the field cannot be questioned.
Beckham Jr. was a top-five wide receiver his first three years in the league. OBJ played in just four games during the 2017 season, and in 2018 he still finished as WR17 despite playing in just 12 games. Beckham should see plenty of targets in Cleveland even with Jarvis Landry and David Njoku as fixtures in the Cleveland passing attack.
Expect Baker Mayfield to throw the ball almost 600 times (with 140 targets going to Beckham) according to the projection model mentioned above from our very own FFzinger (give him a follow). Once again, detailed analysis of the entire Cleveland Browns offense can be found at FFS.
#5-Alvin Kamara is House Tyrell
“Growing strong” are the words of House Tyrell. The stud running back is doing just that. In case you have not seen, Alvin Kamara has been working out this offseason.
— NFL Spin Zone (@NFLSpinZone) April 14, 2019
This is a scary proposition for opposing defenses. The Tennesse grad is already a matchup nightmare. Fantasy guru David Willsey points out that Kamara was second in touchdowns scored last season with 18. The previously discussed Todd Gurley was first crossing the goal line a whopping 22 times in 2018.
The consistency is there for Alvin Kamara as well. The shifty back finishes in the top-12 consistently.
You can see why Kamara is ranked as the consensus RB4 by the experts at FFS. Kamara has finished as a top-5 fantasy running back in both of his seasons in the NFL.
#4-DeAndre Hopkins is House Martell
The Martell’s are very well known skilled warriors oozing with agility. DeAndre Hopkins has shown how freakishly agile he can be also.
— Houston Texans (@HoustonTexans) April 4, 2019
Hopkins is ranked is the WR1 in dynasty by our experts for a reason. All the stud wideout does is win you fantasy championships with his gaudy numbers year in and year out. The former Clemson Tiger has been the WR1 in PPR the past two seasons. That trend is likely to continue in 2019.
The chart above shows his yearly finishes with fellow 2013 draftees Keenan Allen and Robert Woods. Taking a look at the combine data, it was difficult to see this type of breakout coming for the All-Pro wideout. Julio Jones was expected to dominate. Hopkins was not.
#3-Christian McCaffrey is House Lannister
Contrary to popular belief, the Lannister’s words are not “a Lannister always pays his debts.” The official words are “hear me roar.” Fittingly, Christian McCaffrey roared for the Carolina Panthers last year. Going back to the well with Anthony Staggs 150 Fast Facts, we see Christian McCaffrey was a pass catching machine.
A look at the volume percentage by quarters from last year clarifies just how insane McCaffrey’s usage was in the Carolina passing game. The Stanford grad never saw less than 18.09% of Cam Newton’s pass attempts in any given quarter all season. Even more mind-blowing is the fact that McCaffrey caught an unheard of 86.3% of his 107 targets.
In addition to the pass-catching prowess, CMC also gained over 1.000 yards on the ground. McCaffrey averaged over 6 yards per clip every time he touched the ball. Finally, he combined for 20 touchdowns via the air and ground in 2018.
Data courtesy of Pro Football Reference
#2-Ezekiel Elliott is House Stark
Much like the Starks, Elliott will never sit on the throne as the RB1 in fantasy. For the Starks, this is a result of not wanting to rule Westeros and their contention overseeing the north. For Elliott, it is due to the existence of the aforementioned other stud running backs like Todd Gurley, Alvin Kamara, Christian McCaffrey, and Saquon Barkley.
The former Ohio State Buckeye is still the RB2 in all of dynasty. The yearly finishes back up the rankings of the great minds at FFS.
The dip in 2017 was due to Zeke only playing in 10 games stemming from his six-game suspension to start off the campaign. Elliott was clearly the cream of the 2016 running back draft class. Derrick Henry and Jordan Howard have seen some success, but are not in the same zip code as Elliott talent wise. Ezekiel Elliott has been helped a great deal by a top offensive line. But, a look at the combine numbers shows why the stud running back performs week in and week out for your fantasy team.
The bruising running back actually ran a better 40-yard dash than Kamara. The Relative Athletic Score (RAS) also checks in higher than that of Alvin Kamara. There is a chance that Elliott could one day overtake the iron throne, but with an injury-riddled and aging offensive line makes it unlikely that Zeke takes over the ruler of Westeros who will be discussed next.
#1-Saquon Barkley is House Targaryen
The Penn State rookie wasted no time in claiming his stake to the iron throne of fantasy football. Barkley finished as the RB1 in 2018. It was a bloody battle as the consensus number one pick in dynasty last year held off Christian McCaffrey by just 2.3 points in PPR leagues. The Targaryen family is taking a little longer to rule their domain, but clearly hold the most power in the land as Barkley does in the fantasy football landscape.
A look at his 2018 game log shows us that the stud rookie scored in double-digit points in every week but one.
A closer look at the data shows that Barkley was also under 15 points just twice all season. That is incredibly consistent production. Especially for a rookie. David Willsey took a really good look after Week 6, digging deep into what made Barkley so successful on the field. David nailed it by pointing out that the combine grade was the best ever for a running back.
Looking at the consistency data shows us that Barkley only finished out of the top-25 once all year. This was the week the former Nittany Lion scored under double-digit points.
Barkley led the league in yards from scrimmage with 2,028. He also finished second in touches at 353. Expect the trend to continue for years to come. House Targaryen may never rule the iron throne. However, Barkley’s reign of sitting on the throne of fantasy football should be a lengthy one.
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