32 Teams In 32 Days: Los Angeles Chargers
Hello, fellow fantasy football degenerates. In my “32 In 32” series I will be going team by team breaking them down from every aspect you can think of. From their records, team statistics, Vegas lines, contract situations, individual statistics, fantasy numbers, draft picks and implications, free agency updates, and more. Everything to recap 2018 and preview 2019.
In part 23 of the #32TeamsIn32Days series, we are going to look at the teams that moved to a new city two years ago. They have two winning seasons after finishing the previous two (2015-16) with nine total wins and having a .500 or worse record in four of the last six years. Their quarterback is getting older and is seeing the window close. They have one of the most talented running backs in the league but he seems to be battling nagging injuries now. One tight end is passing the torch to another and the wide receivers all seem to be locked into their specific roles. The team did not draft anyone who will directly effect fantasy without injury but just because they had a kind of boring offseason on the offensive side, this offense is not boring at all. It is time for the Los Angeles Chargers breakdown.
Los Angeles Chargers (12-4) Wild Card
Los Angeles started the season out going loss, win, and loss in the first three weeks of 2018. Not exactly the way to start for a team that had really high playoff aspirations before Week 1. Their two losses were to two of the final four teams playing at the end of the season (KC Chiefs/LA Rams) so that is acceptable but giving up 35+ points in each game is a tough recipe for success. Following Week 3, they would get on track. The Chargers won six games in a row and 10 of 11 overall with their only loss being by 1 point.
A finish of 1-1 in the final two Sundays of the regular season kept them from a potential division title but 12 wins are not too shabby. Los Angeles avenged their Week 1 defeat to the eventual AFC champions and when the went to the playoffs, in round 1, the Chargers avenged their late-season defeat to the Baltimore Ravens, the only team all season (playoffs included) that held them to below 20 points all season. The Chargers lost the following week in the divisional round but the season was still very good.
|vs.||Denver Broncos||6||10||0||0.375||-0.5||Past Matchups|
|at||Denver Broncos||6||10||0||0.375||-0.5||Past Matchups|
|vs.||Kansas City Chiefs||12||4||0||0.750||8.9||Past Matchups|
|at||Kansas City Chiefs||12||4||0||0.750||8.9||Past Matchups|
|vs.||Oakland Raiders||4||12||0||0.250||-9.3||Past Matchups|
|at||Oakland Raiders||4||12||0||0.250||-9.3||Past Matchups|
|vs.||Indianapolis Colts||10||6||0||0.625||3.4||Past Matchups|
|vs.||Houston Texans||11||5||0||0.688||3.8||Past Matchups|
|vs.||Jacksonville Jaguars||5||11||0||0.313||-4.0||Past Matchups|
|at||Tennessee Titans||9||7||0||0.563||0.2||Past Matchups|
|at||Chicago Bears||12||4||0||0.750||6.3||Past Matchups|
|at||Detroit Lions||6||10||0||0.375||-3.0||Past Matchups|
|vs.||Green Bay Packers||6||9||1||0.406||-2.7||Past Matchups|
|vs.||Minnesota Vikings||8||7||1||0.531||0.6||Past Matchups|
|Pittsburgh Steelers||9||6||1||0.594||5.6||Past Matchups|
|Miami Dolphins||7||9||0||0.438||-8.8||Past Matchups|
Los Angeles Chargers Offense
When taking a look at the Los Angeles Chargers offense in 2018, it is a glaring example of the change in the landscape of offense in the league. In 2017, the Chargers had the fourth most yards from scrimmage (6,026), and the fifth most first downs (337). They held steady and finished third in the league in third down % for the second straight season (40.2% in 2017, 39.5% in 2018). In 2018, the numbers are not that much different. 64 total yard less and one more first down yet their ranks in the league are way down. Los Angeles was 11th in total yards and 13th in first downs. A dramatic drop for not that big of a change.
They were, however, extremely efficient when it comes to scoring. An increase in total points scored of 73 which brought the 355 points from last year (13th) up to 428 (7th). Still not as high of a jump up the ranks due to the number of points scored this season but a big jump none the less. They accomplished this feat on only 945 total plays which were the fifth fewest ran.
Here is how they break down in these six metrics compared to the rest of the league (Top 16 pictured). When averaging the ranks, the Los Angeles Chargers finished fourth overall.
|G#||Opp||Spread||Over/Under||Result||vs. Line||OU Result|
- Points Per Game 2017-2018 Differences 22.18/ 26.75/ +4.57
- Yards Per Game 2017-2018 Differences 376.62/ 372.62/ -4.0
- First Downs Per Game 2017-2018 Differences 21.06/ 21.12/ +0.06
- Third Down Conversion Rate 2017-2018 Differences 40.2%/ 39.5%/ -0.7%
- Penalties Per Game 2017-2018 Differences 6.75/ 7.06/ +0.31
- Turnover Differential 2017-2018 Differences +12/ +1/ -11
River’s 2018 Season (16 Games)
- QB14, 277.02 Fan Points
- Completed 347/508 Attempts (68.3%) Position Attempt rank: 9th
- 4,308 Yards (8.5 Y/A – 12.4 Y/C)
- 32 TDs (6.3% TD Rate) 12 INT (2.4% INT Rate)
- 18 RuAtt, 7 Yards, 0 TD
- Total QBR 71.2 (QB Rate 105.5)
2018 might not have been Philip Rivers best in terms of his total numbers. It was, however, one of the better seasons we have seen from the 15-year vet in terms of his efficiency. Rivers played a big role in where the Chargers ranked as a whole. Rivers’ totals in attempts, completions, and yards ranked no higher than seventh-highest for his career. But, when you look at his completion %, TD%, yards per attempt, quarterback rating, total QBR, and most importantly his TDs, they ranked no lower than third-highest of his career. The veteran quarterback definitely made the most of his attempts. The totals are what fantasy owners care the most about so here is how Rivers compared to another quarterback that finished with a similar point per game total (16 games played).
Fantasy Point Totals
As you can see, both quarterbacks finished within 0.8 points of each other and 0.1 points per game. The way they got there was a bit different though. As you can see in the consistency charts below, Rivers only finished the season with one top-five week. In comparison, Prescott finished with five total top-five weeks. You would think Prescott would have had a much better overall season but let us look farther. When it comes to top-12 weeks (QB1 in a 12 team league), Rivers actually totaled one more than Prescott. If you look even farther, Rivers had one more QB13-24 finish than Dak as well. That is QB1 in a very deep league or very usable in a 2QB/Super Flex asset. That is potentially a combined 14 games for Rivers compared 12 usable games for Dak.
- Rivers – QB11/ 17.8 Points per Game/ 284.9 Total
- Prescott – QB10/ 17.9 Points per Game/ 285.7 Total
Go a little deeper and Rivers had two fewer weeks outside the top-24. On a week to week basis, Dak might have had a higher ceiling, in large part to his running ability, but he also had the lower floor. Rivers was the more reliable on a week to week basis. Yes, Dak’s bad games were mostly before the Amari Cooper trade but it still shows the reliability Rivers can provide as a late-round pick. Phil gets his running through the short passing game with the talented RBs catching passes that we will get to below.
A Draft Value Like Always
Below are the quarterback ADPs currently and as you will see, Rivers is going as the QB16. By my estimation, there are about nine quarterbacks going ahead of Rivers that have legitimate questions or possible concerns. They are in bold. Also if you add in quarterbacks that were not in the top-12 last season or have not had multiple seasons inside the top-12 during their career, the number left is four in front of Rivers.
Yes, a lot of the other guys have more upside on a given week but do not provide the reliability or have question marks? If Rivers has a full complement of weapons, it is conceivable that he finishes inside the top-10 at a stacked position and you are getting him in the 10th to 12th rounds depending on how deep your league is.
QB/Overall/ Player Name (Bye Week)/ QB1 – 12 In 2018/ Multiple QB1 – 12 Seasons
|1||21||Patrick Mahomes KC (12)||Yes||No|
|2||53||Andrew Luck IND (6)||Yes||Yes|
|3||62||Aaron Rodgers GB (11)||Yes||Yes|
|4||76||Deshaun Watson HOU (10)||Yes||No|
|5||89||Baker Mayfield CLE (7)||No||N/A|
|6||88||Russell Wilson SEA (11)||Yes||Yes|
|7||78||Matt Ryan ATL (9)||Yes||Yes|
|8||97||Drew Brees NO (9)||Yes||Yes|
|9||107||Cam Newton CAR (7)||Yes||Yes|
|10||110||Jared Goff LAR (9)||Yes||Yes|
|11||106||Carson Wentz PHI (10)||No||No|
|12||132||Kirk Cousins MIN (12)||No||Yes|
|13||126||Ben Roethlisberger PIT (7)||Yes||Yes|
|14||123||Tom Brady NE (10)||No||Yes|
|15||131||Jameis Winston TB (7)||No||No|
|16||134||Philip Rivers LAC (12)||Yes||Yes|
- Easton Stick QB, NDST
Height: 6-1, Weight: 224
4 yr$2,797,564 Deal
Draft Scouting Report:
Stick shows good form and footwork when delivering the ball. He has decent accuracy and has shown some good ability to step up or away from oncoming pressure. Is he Rivers’ replacement or is he just another guy remains to be seen of course. The fact the Chargers got him in the fifth is not a ringing endorsement but there is a young arm in the building to battle with Tyrod Taylor for the second QB in line.
2018 College Stats
Games Played – 15
Yards Passing- 2752
Completion % – 62.3
TDS – 28
INT – 7
2019 QB Free Agency Update
Name/ Position/ Age/ 2018 Team/ 2019 Team/ Years/ Salary
For the longest time, because we have short attention spans and it is a what have you done for me lately world, the rain cloud that followed Melvin Gordon around was a low yards per attempt number. Through the first three seasons of his career, and even though he became a touchdown monster in Years 2 and 3(24 total TDs), People still point at his combined 3.8 yards per attempt. Gordon catches passes, scores touchdowns, breaks tackles and can play all three downs. People still doubted even though yard per attempt relies largely on what the O-line blocks. So Gordon went and answered that question for those that point there as a reason to doubt (5.1 in 2018). There is one legit concern for Gordon though, injury.
“Gordon missed 4 games last year with multiple knee and ankle sprains. He has dealt with both issues in the past, however last year his workload seemed to catch up with him. I will be curious how the team continues to use him moving forward. If a big contract extension comes we could be looking at a bigger timeshare to keep him healthy.” – Ethan Turner
Here is what we might have seen from Gordon if he had been able to stay healthy. The stats in bold would have been or already were career highs for the fourth-year back.
2018 Paced To 16 Games
|Per Game Average||14.6||73.8||0.8||5.5||4.2||40.8||0.3||0.2||1.2||7.3||0.1|
|Per 16 Games||233||1180||13||88||67||653||5||3||19||117||1|
Gordon’s 2018 Season (12 games)
- RB8, 271.5 Fan Points
- 175 RuAtt (14.6 AttP/G), 885 Yards (73.8 YdP/G), 3 100 Yard Games, Position Attempt Rank: 17th
- Caught 50/66 Targets, 490 Yards (6.33 Y/R)
- 10 RuTD, 4 ReTD (14 Total)
- 225 Touches, 1,375 Yards (6.11 Y/Tch)
MG3 had a lot of chunk plays in the running game in 2018. You can see below that even though he did not break any massive runs, he was well above average, especially when it comes to runs of 20 yards. Gordon had nearly 2.5% of his runs go for 20 yards whereas the league average is below 1%. Similarly, nearly 2.5% of his runs went for 13 yards compared to a league average of just over 1%. He also averaged the greatest percent of his attempts around two yards greater than league average.
Melvin Gordon may not have had the most opportunities due to missing some game but he was very effective on the ones he got. As you can see above, Gordon averaged more points per opportunity than two of the best all-around backs in the league in 2018. Neither Ezekiel Elliott or Saquon Barkley could touch Gordon’s efficiency last year. The issue is that volume is the king in terms of predicting fantasy value and there are times owning MG3 can be a little frustrating but when you look at the total, in the end, he generally came through for your team. If the Chargers RB1 can stay healthy, he is a locked in top-seven RB in every format. Gordon ranked 5th in the league in both fewest touches and opportunities per TD among RBs with a minimum of 85 rushing attempts (55 total).
Efficiency was not the only thing that was impressive about Gordon’s season though. He may not have had a ton of volume but he did have some impressive totals for a guy with games missed to injury and that somewhat shares the backfield when he is out there.
- Rush Attempts – 175 (20th)
- Targets – 66 (15th)
- Receptions – 50 (14th)
- Red Zone Touches – 33 (16th)
- Rush Yards – 885 (17th)
- Receiving Yards – 490 (10th)
- Break Away Runs – 13 (seventh)
- Evaded Tackles – 79 (sixth)
- Touchdowns – 14 (fourth)
- Fantasy Points per Game – 22.6 (fifth)
Austin Ekeler And Justin Jackson
Austin Ekeler has been a useful fantasy asset in PPR leagues for a couple of years now and many wanted to see him get a shot with more opportunity thinking that the third-down back would produce on a greater level if given the chance. Ekeler is a very athletic and versatile back but not on the level of Gordon. He is often schemed into space and rarely runs inside the tackles. We have seen what it looks like without Gordon in the lineup in a very small sample. Here is how Ekeler performed with help from the FFStatistics splits tool. Likewise, how Justin Jackson performed without Gordon and without both for one game.
2018 Ekeler W/ And W/O Gordon Active
|Player||Metric||in_split- w/ Gordon||out_of_split- w/o Gordon|
|Austin Ekeler, RB||in_split||1||0|
|Austin Ekeler, RB||games||11||3|
|Austin Ekeler, RB||ppr_mean||12.03||12.83|
|Austin Ekeler, RB||rushyards_mean||38.64||43.00|
|Austin Ekeler, RB||rushtds_mean||0.18||0.33|
|Austin Ekeler, RB||receptions_mean||2.45||4.00|
|Austin Ekeler, RB||targets_mean||3.00||6.67|
|Austin Ekeler, RB||recyards_mean||29.82||25.33|
|Austin Ekeler, RB||rectds_mean||0.27||0.00|
|Austin Ekeler, RB||ppr_mean_projection||192.44||205.33|
|Austin Ekeler, RB||rushyards_mean_projection||618.18||688.00|
|Metric||in_split- w/ Gordon||out_of_split- w/o Gordon|
|Justin Jackson, RB||games||4||4/1 (w/o either RB)|
|Justin Jackson, RB||ppr_mean||5.12||10.15/17.50|
|Justin Jackson, RB||rushyards_mean||17.5||34.0/58.0|
|Justin Jackson, RB||rushtds_mean||0.0||0.5/1|
|Justin Jackson, RB||receptions_mean||2.00||1.75/3.0|
|Justin Jackson, RB||targets_mean||2.75||2.00/4.0|
|Justin Jackson, RB||recyards_mean||13.75||20.00/27.00|
|Justin Jackson, RB||rectds_mean||0||0/0|
|Justin Jackson, RB||ppr_mean_projection||82.0||162.4/280.0|
|Justin Jackson, RB||rushyards_mean_projection||280||544/928|
As you can see above, Ekeler did not do a whole lot more on the extra volume he received without Gordon in the lineup. Jackson had a solid showing in the RBBC without Gordon as well and in the one game he got the vast majority of the opportunities, Jackson had nearly 18.0 PPR points.
“A concussion and neck injury cost Ekeler Weeks 15 and 16 last year. Concussions can be tricky, however it does increase the risk of future concussions. Ekeler has shown some promise and the fact that he cleared concussion protocol prior to being cleared for his neck. I don’t expect this to impact him in any significant way moving forward.” – Ethan Turner
Again though, neither is near MG3’s level when he is right.
|Jeremy Cox||RB||3 yr$1,755,000|
As you can see below, all three of the main wide receiving threats for the Chargers were very effective with the ball in their hands. All three did it differently as well. Keenan Allen was the high volume slot receiver that he always is, Mike Williams was the low volume high-efficiency touchdown scorer, and Tyrell Williams was the low volume big-play receiver/deep threat. All three of them finished no lower than 48th in PPR in 2018.
|Year||Player Name||Targets||Rush Att||Point Totals||Total Oppo Points per Oppo|
|2018||Keenan Allen, WR||137||9||260.1||146 1.78||WR12|
|2018||Mike Williams, WR||66||7||178.2||73 2.44||WR32|
|2018||Tyrell Williams, WR||64||2||137.8||66 2.09||WR48|
Below you can also see that the Chargers had three receivers and even Antonio Gates as well, inside the top-90 pass catchers (WR and TE) in terms of most efficient TD scorers on their targets along with receptions and yards per TD (minimum 35 targets). Another reason that the Chargers ranked fourth in efficiency above in the “Chargers Offense” section. Both Williams’ absolutely made the most of their targets. Mike Williams was actually more effective than Tyler Lockett in 2018.
Mike Williams #1 (Fewest targets per TD scored)
19.7% red zone share/ 27.3% end zone share
Tyrell Williams #31 (Fewest targets per TD scored)
10.9% red zone share/ 19.0% end zone share
Keenan Allen #89 (Fewest targets per TD scored)
23.4% red zone share/ 18.4% end zone share
Antonio Gates #86
12.7% red zone share/ 25.0% end zone share
Allen’s 2018 Season (16 games played)
- WR12, 260.1 Fan Points
- Caught 97/136 Targets (71.3%) 6.1 P/G, Position Target Rank: 11th
- 1,196 Yards (12.3 Y/R, 8.79 Y/T) 3 100 Yard games
- 6 TDs
Keenan Allen had a slowish start to the season and had some owners wanting to sell him. If you held strong though, Allen was once again the target monster we have come to know him to be when healthy. Which he was for the second straight season after missing 23 games the previous two seasons.
The sixth-year wide receiver just posted the second highest total of targets, receptions, yards, and touchdowns off his career. If you exclude the two seasons plagued by injury, Allen also had his best catch rate and second most yards per target he has posted. He should continue to be the primary threat but the emergence of a consistent tight end could pull a little bit of his volume. Tight ends and slot receivers occupy similar parts off the field. The loss of Tyrell Williams in free agency will likely benefit Mike Williams more so than Allen.
It is going to be interesting to see how the Chargers go about Allen’s contract situation. There is a potential out this season but that is likely not happening. Safe to say there is about a 99.9% chance Allen is on the roster for 2019. 2020 is interesting though as Allen will be 28 years old and the dead cap will be $1.9 million. He will certainly want to be paid like one of the best wide receivers in the league and has done nothing to show he is not just that. Teams do funny things though and the Chargers could choose not to pay the man with an expected amazing rookie class due for 2020.
Mike Williams’s 2018 Season (16 games played)
- WR32, 178.2 Fan Points
- Caught 43/66 Targets (65.2%) 2.7 P/G, Position Target Rank: 64th
- 664 Yards (15.4 Y/R, 10.06 Y/T) 0 100 Yard games
- 10 TDs
Mike Williams was one of the few people that could boast having similar or even better efficiency than tyler locket in 2018. He did not post the yardage Lockett did but the TDs were the same on fewer targets so we will say it is at least somewhat close. The former Clemson Tiger was good enough to be the primary pass catcher for a national title-winning team and after a year of producing absolutely nothing, Williams exploded for 10 TDs and was the least targeted of any player that caught double-digit TDs.
Player/ Games/ Targets/ Receptions/ Catch Rate/ Yards/ Yards per Reception/ TDs/ Yards per Target/ Receptions per Game
- Antonio Brown* (15/ 168/104/ 61.9%/ 1297/ 12.5/ 15/ 7.7/ 6.92)
- Davante Adams* (15/ 169/ 111/ 65.7%/ 1386/ 12.5/ 13/ 8.2/ 7.43)
- Eric Ebron* (16/ 110/ 66/ 60.0%/ 750/ 11.4/ 13/ 6.8/ 4.14)
- Tyreek Hill*+ (16/ 137/ 87/ 63.5%/ 1479/ 17.0/ 12/ 10.8/ 5.45)
- DeAndre Hopkins*+ (16/ 163/ 115/ 70.6%/ 1572/ 13.7/ 11/ 9.6/ 7.26)
- Travis Kelce*+ (16/ 150/ 103/ 68.7%/ 1336/ 13.0/ 10/ 8.9/ 6.47)
- Calvin Ridley (16/ 92/ 64/ 69.6%/ 821/ 12.8/ 10/ 8.9/ 4.08)
- Tyler Lockett (16/ 70/ 57/ 81.4%/ 965/ 16.9/ 10/ 13.8/ 3.69)
- Mike Williams (16/ 66/ 43/ 65.2%/ 664/ 15.4/ 10/ 10.1/ 2.7)
Williams was one of only three of the double-digit TD receivers to average over 10 yards per target and 15 yards per reception. All of this on 2.7 receptions per game. almost 1 fewer reception than Lockett and more than one reception fewer than the next closest Calvin Ridley. Normally you would say regression is in order but with the loss of Tyrell Williams as I stated above, Mike should see more volume to make up for it in 2019. Hopefully it can also make him a reliable week to week start.
T. Williams’s 2018 Season (16 games played)
- WR48, 137.8 Fan Points
- Caught 41/65 Targets (63.1%) 2.6 P/G, Position Target Rank: 32nd
- 653 Yards (15.9 Y/R, 10.05 Y/T) 2 100 Yard games
- 5 TDs
Tyrell Williams will be heading to Oakland in 2019 but he left with some good work in his rearview mirror and a lot of untapped potential possibly. The fastest receiver on the field in 2018 was a WR2 in 2016 when he was either the first or second receiving option for the Chargers on a given day and will now go play opposite one of the most dangerous wide receivers in the league. He will get some more chances to make plays in 2019.
In 2018 though, the fourth year receiver out of Western Oregon was just a deep threat for the Chargers. He had very similar yard per target and yards per reception numbers as Mike Williams. Slightly better, in fact. He just was not the red zone or end zone threat as we saw above (19.0 end zone targets share/ Mike Williams 27.3%). Watch closely to see what receiver left on the team starts to move into that third spot as the offseason progresses.
|Jason Moore||WR||3 yr$1,755,000|
|Trevion Thompson||WR||3 yr$1,755,000|
2019 Free Agency Wide Receiver Update
Name/ Position/ Age/ 2018 Team/ 2019 Team/ Years/ Salary
The Chargers will miss the deep threat ability that Williams brings to the table. He provided that weapon to compliment Mike Williams and Keenan Allen but the team from Los Angeles does have Travis Benjamin and a few other options.
Chargers TE’s 2018 Season (Antonio Gates, Virgil Green, and Sean Culkin)
- TE14, 122.7 Fan Points
- Caught 48/72 Targets (65.8%) 3.00 P/G, Position Target Rank: 12th
- 567 Yards (11.81 Y/R, 7.77 Y/T) 0 100 Yard games
- 3 TDs
Here is a visual of Rivers history over the past 10 seasons to the TE position. You can see that 2018 was more than just a bit of an outlier. It was the only time in the last 10 season that Rivers had thrown fewer than 105 targets or had a lower than 19.9% target share. The numbers were considerably lower (-5.5% target share/ -33 targets) than the previous 10 year low.
(Numbers based on the data from above and found on FFStatistics.com.)
Where Did The Targets Go?
Rivers has never thrown a huge percentage of his attempts to the wide receiver position. In fact, four of the last 10 years, the percentage of passes to the wide receiver position has been below 50% as you can see. In four of the last five season, the total has been no lower than 55.58%, with 2018 being the second highest. The last three seasons the number of running back targets has increased greatly. The percentage of targets has shot up from 16.31% in 2016 to 22.83% in 2017 and jumping again to 27.63% in 2018. The second highest of the last 10 seasons. When you combine the two factors, what do you get? Not much for the tight ends.
Is this a change in philosophy or is it a lack of consistent explosive weapons at the position? For the longest time, we could rely on Antonio Gates to be that guy for the Chargers like Rivers did for so long. Gates’ presence in the offense also likely has affected the WR targets as well. As the future HOFer has broken down physically, the need to target other positions outside of the red zone has become more important than ever. Hunter Henry was drafted to be next in line but he has not been able to stay on the field in his young career. Last season the targets hit a devastating low in Los Angeles. 5.5% target share lower than the previous low and only the second time in the last 10 year it has been below 20%.
Targets To The Tight End
- 2018-Philip Rivers, TE (503 attempts passing, 72 targets to the TE, 14.31 target share, 66.67 comp %)
- 2017-Philip Rivers, TE (565, 119, 21.06, 65.55%)
- 2016-Philip Rivers, TE (558, 148, 26.52, 61.49%)
- 2015-Philip Rivers, TE (654, 161, 24.62, 64.60%)
- 2014-Philip Rivers, TE (563, 124, 22.02, 71.77%)
- 2013-Philip Rivers, TE (535, 148, 27.66, 66.22%)
- 2012-Philip Rivers, TE (509, 115, 22.59, 62.61%)
- 2011-Philip Rivers, TE (567, 137, 24.16, 69.34%)
- 2010-Philip Rivers, TE (527, 105, 19.92, 76.19%)
- 2009-Philip Rivers, TE (471, 118, 25.05, 70.34%)
If they can find some consistency with Hunter Henry coming back or someone else, the target share should go up. Also, if you look below, most of the pass catchers that have a high passer rating from Rivers, run routes in similar areas as the TE position would. Mike Williams also made a living being an efficient big-bodied receiver, especially in the red zone. Henry or another, but hopefully Henry, could add another big-time factor for Rivers this season. Another guy to guard in the red zone and near the goal line can only help.
“Hunter Henry made a brief return in the playoffs last year but played <15 snaps. Coming off an ACL tear in May of 2018 he has had plenty of time to recover. Slight risk for compensation injuries at this stage. I’d feel confident drafting him.” – Ethan Turner
Philip Rivers last 10 seasons to the TE. Combo of Gates and Green didn't do it last yr in a big time outlier. Hunter Henry has caught 81/115 targets (70.4%), 1057 yards, and 12 tds (2016-17).Thats a 9.9% target share in a partial role. Gates had a 12.6% target share… pic.twitter.com/RawcjeUgNX
— David Willsey FF_TYM (@willson8tor) May 26, 2019
|Daniel Helm||TE||3 yr$1,755,000|
|Matt Soko l||TE||3 yr$1,755,000|
2019 TE Free Agency Update
Yet To Sign
Name/ Position/ Age/ 2018 Team/ To Be Determined
2019 O-Line Free Agency/ Draft Update
Name/ Position/ Deal
|Blake Camper||T||3 yr$1,755,000|
|Chris Brown||G||3 yr$1,755,000|
|Koda Martin||G||3 yr$1,755,000|
|Tanner Volson||C||3 yr$1,755,000|
- Trey Pipkins OL, SIOUX FALLS
Height: 6-6, Weight: 309
2018 Fantasy Relevant Draftees
|Round||Player Name||Pick||Position||Games Played||Rush Attempt||Ru Yards||Ru TDs||Receptions||Re Yards||Re TDs||School|
|6||Dylan Cantrell||191||WR||0||Texas Tech|
With The 28th Pick In The 2019 NFL Draft, The Los Angeles Chargers Select…
- Jerry Tillery DL, ND
Height: 6-6, Weight: 295
The Other Rounds Of The 2019 draft (Rounds 2-7)
- Nasir Adderley S, DE
Height: 6-0, Weight: 206
- Trey Pipkins OL, SIOUX FALLS
Height: 6-6, Weight: 309
- Drue Tranquill LB, ND
Height: 6-2, Weight: 234
- Easton Stick QB, NDST
Height: 6-1, Weight: 224
- Emeke Egbule LB, HOU
Height: 6-2, Weight: 245
- Cortez Broughton DL, CINCY
Height: 6-2, Weight: 293
Click here to see the Chargers injuries.
Cap Space $12,909,385
When thinking about the Chargers moving forward, we need to ask, can they be as efficient again? Can Philip Rivers keep up the efficiency he showed this past season with more volume? Losing Tyrell Williams will have an effect. The return of a fully healthy Hunter Henry could help to make up, albeit in a different way. The passing game through the Chargers running backs will always help to keep Rivers completion rate up and provide a few extra TDs.
Keenan Allen will do Keenan Allen things but could also see a slight bump in targets with the Williams loss, which could make up for the possible loss he could take with Henry potentially back, healthy, and occupying a similar part of the field. Mike Williams is the biggest efficiency question mark, like we covered above. He caught a touchdown on a higher percentage of his targets than anyone else (15.15%). Williams will likely see TD regression but the increase he should see in targets should allow him to catch a similar amount of TDs. Also, who can step in and now be that WR3 they will be missing? They have eight targets combined among eight receivers outside of Travis Benjamin.
The final questions involve the running game. Can Melvin Gordon stay healthy or do the minor lower-body injuries take their toll again? Gordon can make up for limited volume somewhat but he does have to be on the field to do so obviously. Secondly, who is the handcuff you want to own? Ekeler can provide some stand-alone value in his normal role but does he just stay in that role and instead, Justin Jackson take over the RB1 role if Gordon were to miss time? All things to monitor moving forward and look for signs pointing, either way, to help you make smart fantasy decisions.